MLB Best Bets Wednesday 9/18/24

As we dive into today’s MLB slate, we’ve got some solid matchups to analyze, and I’m breaking down a few key bets that stand out based on the information provided. Each suggested bet is backed by solid reasoning, making them prime candidates for today’s action. Let’s get into it.

Cubs vs. A’s – Under 8 Total Runs

Suggested Bet: Under 8 Total Runs

• Pitching Matchup: Brady Basso vs. Justin Steele
• Key Insights:
  • Basso has been solid since transitioning from the bullpen to a starter role, with back-to-back scoreless starts.
  • Steele, despite elbow concerns, has been dominant in his last few starts, with the Cubs going 5-0 when he pitches.
  • Neither offense is overpowering, and the under has been trending for both teams.

The Cubs’ bullpen is also reliable enough to keep runs down, and Oakland’s offense is limited, outside of Brent Rooker. This matchup points towards a low-scoring affair.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies – Diamondbacks -141 Moneyline

Suggested Bet: Diamondbacks -141

• Pitching Matchup: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Austin Gomber
• Key Insights:
  • Rodriguez is coming off a solid performance and faces a Colorado team that struggles offensively.
  • Gomber has been serviceable, but Arizona has hit better on the road and they need to bounce back after a tough series.
  • Despite the Rockies’ recent surge, the D-backs should avoid a three-game skid with their bats waking up in a crucial game.

Arizona is a strong road team, and Rodriguez is due for a win after recent tough luck. This should be a good rebound spot.

Dodgers vs. Marlins – Dodgers -1.5 Run Line (-110)

Suggested Bet: Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

• Pitching Matchup: Landon Knack vs. Ryan Weathers
• Key Insights:
  • Knack is in a bounce-back spot after getting roughed up in his last outing, and the Dodgers’ offense is still one of the most dangerous in baseball.
  • Miami’s offense has been weak all season, despite a rare offensive explosion recently.
  • Ryan Weathers is coming off the 60-day IL and could struggle in his return against this potent Dodgers lineup.

The Dodgers’ offense should bounce back and support Knack, while Weathers may struggle with rust. I like the Dodgers to win big.

Phillies vs. Brewers – Phillies +100 Moneyline

Suggested Bet: Phillies +100

• Pitching Matchup: Aaron Nola vs. Freddy Peralta
• Key Insights:
  • Nola has been inconsistent recently, but the Phillies have a strong offense and bullpen that can carry them even if Nola isn’t at his best.
  • The Brewers are solid at home, but Peralta has shown some vulnerability in his starts, and the Phillies’ offense should be able to capitalize.

The value is on the Phillies here as a slight underdog. Nola could bounce back, but even if he’s shaky, their bats and bullpen are strong enough to pull out a win.

Yankees vs. Mariners – Yankees -120 Moneyline

Suggested Bet: Yankees -120

• Pitching Matchup: Nestor Cortes vs. Bryce Miller
• Key Insights:
  • Cortes has been excellent in four of his last five starts and should keep the Mariners’ light-hitting offense in check.
  • The Yankees have been one of the best road teams in MLB, and Miller struggled in his last outing against them, giving up three homers.
  • Yankees’ bullpen is solid, and they’ve been scoring runs consistently.

The Yankees should continue their dominance against Miller, and this is a great spot for them to pick up another road win.

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