Best Sleeper Picks: How to Take Advantage of Glasnow Promotion

Happy Friday! I’m so glad baseball is back from the All-Star break today, especially because there’s a bunch of cool promos around the sportsbooks and DFS apps.

One of the best ones is on Sleeper, a DFS app that’s legal in all these purple states:

If you haven’t signed up for Sleeper yet, you can use my refer a friend code ‘ALEX’ for an instant first deposit match up to $100.

Anyway, Sleeper is running a promotion today where Tyler Glasnow’s strikeout line has been discounted from 7.5 all the way down to 3.5. That’s an absolute no-brainer to take the over.

Since Sleeper is a DFS platform, I had to find a second player prop to pair with Glasnow.

Pick #2: J.P. France Under 5.5 Strikeouts

I found this play on the OddsJam MLB Screen. The screen allows me to quickly scan the market to find lines and odds that jump out with value.

As you can see in the screenshot above, the under 5.5 for France strikeouts is heavily favored by the market. Bet99 is all the way up at -164 while HotStreak and FanDuel are in the -152 to -155 range.

This means that the market is saying France is more likely to go under 5.5 strikeouts than over. The implied odds we are getting on Sleeper are -128, so there’s a lot of value on our under.

Using the screen or OddsJam positive EV tool, you can find mathematically profitable bets like this one with ease.

OddsJam constantly scans the market looking for outliers where there’s value, and when there is, the bet is bolded and highlighted in green on the tool for you.

As a sharp sports bettor, I am treating every sportsbook line as a data point. I don’t just go off what my gut or baseball knowledge is telling me. I let the sportsbooks establish a market and then use OddsJam to find outliers. In our example here, we can clearly see the sportsbooks believe Williams’ over is more likely to hit.

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