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MLB

Lock in This Sharp MLB Pitcher Prop at Fliff in Giants vs. Nationals

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

I’m back on Fliff for a sharp bet in today’s action between the San Francisco Giants and Washington Nationals. Coming off a loss yesterday, the Giants will turn to their ace pitcher and we’ll be looking for him to have a great outing.

If you haven’t signed up for Fliff yet, be sure to do so using code ‘ODDSJAM’ for a $100 deposit match. It’s free money, so you might as well take it!

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Pick: Logan Webb Over 4.5 Strikeouts

I found this play using the OddsJam Positive EV tool and we are getting some clear value here on Webb’s strikeouts over. Take a look at this:

As you can see, the best odds across the market are clearly at Fliff. The average odds on this play are -135, yet we are getting it on Fliff at -110. DraftKings has similar value, but other sportsbooks like Caesars and FanDuel are much higher.

Fliff is the only data point with the under favored at -130. Every other sportsbook has the over as the more likely outcome, which is why this play has such great value.

As a sharp sports bettor, I treat every sportsbook as a data point. In this example, we have every other market telling us that the over is more likely to hit than the under. With that knowledge, I then found the best possible odds on this play from the Positive EV tool.

No offense, but you’re never going to outsmart the sportsbooks using your gut or what you think will happen. These companies have invested millions of dollars in setting sportsbook lines, so the much smarter play is to learn to read the market to your advantage, like we did in this example.

As always, be sure to sign up for as many sportsbooks in your area as possible. The more you have, the more sharp betting opportunities and line discrepancies become available to you.

If you want to try out this sharp betting software for yourself, give our seven-day free trial a go here.

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