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MLB

Best MLB Picks for Wednesday: Profitable Plays at Fliff for Tonight’s Action

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

I hope everyone had a good Fourth of July! The MLB season is chugging right along so let’s make the most of this last week before the All-Star Break.

All of these plays are from Fliff. If you haven’t signed up for Fliff yet, be sure to do so, as I post a ton of free sharp picks from them. When you register, use promo code ‘ODDSJAM’ and you’ll receive a $100 deposit match. It’s free money!

Be sure to follow me on Twitter @AlexMonahan100, where I post free sharp bets like this every day.

Pick #1: Patrick Sandoval Under 17.5 Outs Recorded | -115 at Fliff

I found this play on the OddsJam Positive Expected Value tool.

As you can see in the screenshot above, we are getting tremendous value at Fliff. All other sportsbooks like DraftKings, Caesars, and others list his under at -135 or greater odds.

Consistently betting mathematically profitable bets like this one are how I have made over $1,000,000 sports betting in my career. It’s the only way to guarantee a long term profit and beat the sportsbooks.

As a sharp sports bettor, I am treating every sportsbook as a data point. In this example, we’ve got data that tells us Sandoval’s under is more likely to win than the -115 odds we are getting at Fliff. Fortunately for us, Fliff has given us a phenomenal line to capitalize on. This bet is not guaranteed to win or anything like that, but consistently betting outlier lines like this where we are getting a better price than market value is the only way to profit longterm as a sports bettor.

If you haven’t already, sign up for our free seven-day trial and give the Positive EV tool a try for yourself!

Pick #2: Rangers vs. Red Sox Over Ladder

Here’s another example of the EV tool finding us insane value.

Fliff is completely off from the market on all these alternate overs, so I bet each one. Of course, if over 10.5 doesn’t hit then the others won’t either…so this is riskier but has huge payout potential.

For example with the over 11.5 shown above, we are getting +195 odds when DraftKings and FanDuel are all the way down in the +155 range. The odds of these bets winning are greater than the implied probability of the odds Fliff is giving us.

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