Juicy Parlays: 7 “No Brainer” Betting Picks for Sunday, May 7

I’ll keep this article brief. I have six sharp sports betting picks for May 7. Today, we have 2 NBA playoff games, 3 NHL playoff games and 15 MLB regular season games. To say the least, there’s a lot of value in the market with 20 games.

All of my parlay picks are on Fliff sportsbook. Fliff is a relatively new sportsbook, and it’s available in basically every U.S. state. If you don’t have Fliff, then I highly recommend signing up. I’ve been able to find a myriad of profitable bets on this sportsbook.

Pick #1: Athletics +1.5 at -185 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

My first bet for today is in the MLB. I’m on the Oakland Athletics +1.5 run line @ -185 odds on Fliff.

As sharp sports bettors, we’re always looking for value in the market. Investors/day traders hunt for value & “underpriced assets,” and it’s no different in sports betting. We’re looking for sports betting picks with value (e.g. an “edge”).

I found this MLB bet on the OddsJam Positive EV Betting Tool. The Positive EV Tool is pretty simple – it just points out value in the market. Since sportsbooks set lines independently (e.g. each book has different odds), we essentially have dozens of data points telling us where a line should be set. On Fliff, we can get the Athletics +1.5 run line @ -185 odds. Just look at the “prices” (e.g. odds) on Athletics +1.5 run line on other sportsbooks:

• WynnBet: -205 odds
• BOL: -213 Odds
• BOV: -195 Odds
• Low Vig: -207 odds
• Pin: -210 odds

The average “price” on the Athletics +1.5 run line is -209 odds, and we’re getting -185 on Fliff. That’s clear value. Don’t overcomplicate sports betting… It’s 2023, data is important.

There’s dozens of data points (e.g. books posting odds) telling us that the Athletics +1.5 run line should be priced around -200 to -210 odds; getting -185 on Fliff is a “no brainer” bet.

I locked in this MLB bet in a three pick parlay for Sunday, 5/7. My three picks are:

1. Stars Over 3.5 Team Total Goals
2. Under 5.5 Goals in Maple Leafs vs Panthers
3. Oakland Athletics +1.5 Run Line

All three of these sharp sports betting picks were found on the Positive EV Tool. Again, as a sharp bettor, it’s all about finding value. Every sports bettor will go through winning streaks & losing streaks – if you want to make money sports betting, then it’s all about finding an “edge” and picks with a positive profit margin (e.g. +EV bets). That’s how you make money sports betting long-term.

Pick #2: Over 10.5 Runs in Athletics vs Royals at +130 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

My next pick is also for the Athletics vs Royals game on Sunday, May 7. I’m on over 10.5 Runs in Athletics vs Royals at +130 odds on Fliff sportsbook.

As a sharp sports bettor, you never know which book will have value (e.g. profitable bets) on a given day. Sometimes, it’s FanDuel. Other days, it’s DraftKings. That’s why having as many sportsbooks as possible is critical. More = merrier. For today, a lot of value is on Fliff…

We’re getting the over 10.5 runs at +130 odds on Fliff. Once again, just look @ the ‘prices’ (e.g. odds) on other sportsbooks:

1. FanDuel: +116 odds
2. Caesars: +108 odds

The average price on over 10.5 runs in Athletics vs Royals is +118, and we’re getting +130 on Fliff. That’s clear value – lock it in!

Pick #3: Dodgers +1.5 Run Line at -200 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

To be clear, Positive EV bets are profitable regardless of if you bet them in a parlay, a round robin or as a straight bet. It doesn’t matter.

As a straight bet, I hit the Dodgers +1.5 run line at -200 odds on Fliff. This MLB betting pick was also from the OddsJam Positive EV Tool. The average line on the Dodgers +1.5 is -227 odds; getting this MLB bet at -200 odds is clear value!

Value, value, value – it’s all that matters as a sharp sports bettor! I locked in this MLB betting pick on the Dodgers run line for $250, which is the maximum stake allowed on Fliff sportsbook. I’m staking $250 to win a total payout of $375 if the bet hits.

As always, please don’t hesitate to reach out with any questions about sharp, profitable sports betting. My email is [email protected] and I’m always happy to help!