MLB Best Bets Sunday 7/7/24

What’s up, everyone? We’ve got a full slate of MLB action today, and I’m here to break down the top five best bets for today’s games. As always, I’ll provide key insights and explain why each pick is a top play.

Let’s dive in and make some money!

Top 5 MLB Best Bets for Today

1. Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds – Under 8.5 Runs

Suggested Bet: Under 8.5 Runs (-117)

• Matchup Insights:
  • Tigers Pitcher: Tarik Skubal (9-3, 2.45 ERA) – Skubal has been solid this season, although he’s shown some cracks lately. Expect a bounce-back performance.
  • Reds Pitcher: Graham Ashcraft (5-4, 5.45 ERA) – While Ashcraft has been inconsistent, his recent starts have been decent.
  • Injury Impact: No significant injuries affecting either team’s performance today.
  • Key Points:
    • Both teams have struggled offensively, with the Tigers averaging 5 runs over their last four games and the Reds just 4.
    • Detroit’s bullpen is league-average, but Skubal’s ability to limit runs will be crucial.
    • Cincinnati’s offense is trending upwards but still not explosive.

2. Baltimore Orioles vs. Oakland Athletics – Orioles -1.5

Suggested Bet: Orioles -1.5 (-110)

• Matchup Insights:
  • Orioles Pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez (10-3, 3.45 ERA) – Rodriguez has been dominant, especially in his last few starts.
  • Athletics Pitcher: Mitch Spence (4.15 ERA) – Spence has been shaky, and the A’s are 1-4 in his last five starts.
  • Injury Impact: No major injuries affecting this matchup.
  • Key Points:
    • Orioles’ offense is elite, with Gunnar Henderson leading a team that’s 2nd in runs scored.
    • Despite the Athletics’ recent win, their offense is among the worst in the league.
    • Baltimore’s bullpen is reliable, while Oakland’s bullpen struggles.

3. Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – Dodgers Over 2.5 Runs in First Five Innings

Suggested Bet: Dodgers Over 2.5 Runs in First Five Innings (-130)

• Matchup Insights:
  • Brewers Pitcher: Dallas Keuchel – Keuchel has been inconsistent, and the Dodgers’ offense is poised to capitalize.
  • Dodgers Pitcher: To be determined – Regardless, Dodgers’ bullpen and lineup are strong.
  • Injury Impact: No significant injuries.
  • Key Points:
    • Dodgers’ bats are hot, especially at home.
    • Keuchel’s vulnerability in early innings can lead to an offensive explosion for LA.
    • Look for key hitters like Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman to set the tone early.

4. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves – Phillies Moneyline

Suggested Bet: Phillies Moneyline (+166)

• Matchup Insights:
  • Phillies Pitcher: Michael Mercado (1-0, 1.50 ERA) – Promising young pitcher showing strong early season form.
  • Braves Pitcher: Ronaldo Lopez (6-2, 1.83 ERA) – Despite his good numbers, Lopez has struggled in his last couple of starts.
  • Injury Impact: Phillies missing Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, which impacts their lineup.
  • Key Points:
    • Phillies’ bullpen is the best in the majors, crucial for late-game scenarios.
    • Atlanta’s offense has been inconsistent lately.
    • Mercado’s form and the Phillies’ resilience make them a strong underdog pick.

5. Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees – Over 8.5 Runs

Suggested Bet: Over 8.5 Runs

• Matchup Insights:
  • Red Sox Pitcher: Cutter Crawford (4-5, 3.47 ERA) – Crawford has been decent but not invincible.
  • Yankees Pitcher: Luis Gil – Gil has been struggling significantly in his recent starts.
  • Injury Impact: Yankees’ lineup bolstered by young talent, but still missing key players.
  • Key Points:
    • Red Sox offense is hitting well, consistently scoring in recent games.
    • Yankees have shown offensive bursts, especially in high-profile matchups like this.
    • Both teams’ bullpens have had their struggles, increasing the chances of a high-scoring game.

Final Thoughts

Maximize your betting and fantasy picks with Oddsjam, designed to help you quickly identify the most reliable bets in today’s games. Let’s cash in on these best bets and enjoy a profitable day of baseball!

Good luck, and let’s get those wins!