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MLB Best Bets Wednesday 5/29/24
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Welcome to today’s MLB Best Bets! We’ve analyzed all the matchups and identified the top five bets for today’s slate. We’ll provide key insights, relevant statistics, and explain why each player is a top play today.
Let’s maximize your betting and fantasy picks with Oddsjam to help you quickly identify the most reliable bets in today’s games.
Top 5 MLB Best Bets
1. Frankie Montas – St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Pitching Matchup:
- Frankie Montas (Reds): 21.1 IP, 19.3% K%, 8.0% BB%, .125 ISO vs. R
- Andre Pallante (Cardinals): 30.2 IP, 14.7% K%, 14.1% BB%, .100 ISO vs. R
Key Insights:
- Montas has been effective against right-handed hitters with a low ISO of .125.
- Pallante has struggled against right-handed batters, with an elevated .341 xwOBA.
- Cardinals’ hitters like Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado could exploit Pallante’s weaknesses.
- The Reds’ offense has been inconsistent, making Montas a reliable bet despite his recent struggles.
BET – Cardinals Moneyline
- His ability to limit power from right-handed hitters gives him an edge.
- Facing a Cardinals lineup that has been heating up adds value to this pick.
2. Dane Dunning – Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Pitching Matchup:
- Dane Dunning (Rangers): 118.1 IP, 21.7% K%, 6.7% BB%, .131 ISO vs. R
- Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): 91.0 IP, 17.8% K%, 4.5% BB%, .217 ISO vs. R
Key Insights:
- Dunning has been solid against right-handed hitters, with a low ISO of .131 and a .285 wOBA.
- Nelson has struggled with power against righties, showing a high .217 ISO.
- Rangers’ hitters like Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia could capitalize on Nelson’s weaknesses.
BET – Under 9.0 total runs
- His consistency against right-handed batters and ability to generate strikeouts.
- The Diamondbacks’ recent offensive struggles enhance Dunning’s prospects.
3. Kyle Harrison – Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
Pitching Matchup:
- Kyle Harrison (Giants): 73.2 IP, 22.9% K%, 8.2% BB%, .182 ISO vs. R
- Cristopher Sanchez (Phillies): 118.1 IP, 20.7% K%, 5.5% BB%, .172 ISO vs. R
Key Insights:
- Harrison’s strikeout ability and control against right-handers make him a solid choice.
- Sanchez has been good but faces a Giants lineup that has been scoring consistently.
- Giants’ hitters like Matt Chapman and Wilmer Flores have been producing well against lefties.
BET – Giants Moneyline
- His strikeout potential and the Giants’ current offensive form.
- Facing a Phillies lineup that has been up and down adds confidence.
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4. James Paxton – Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Pitching Matchup:
- James Paxton (Dodgers): 113.2 IP, 21.6% K%, 10.1% BB%, .210 ISO vs. R
- David Peterson (Mets): 84.0 IP, 24.8% K%, 10.9% BB%, .163 ISO vs. R
Key Insights:
- Paxton has been effective, but his recent struggles against the Reds are a concern.
- Peterson has been consistent, but facing a Dodgers lineup with Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani is challenging.
- Dodgers’ offensive potential against left-handers is high.
BET – Dodgers Moneyline
- His ability to bounce back from rough outings.
- The Dodgers’ strong lineup supporting him.
5. Yu Darvish – Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Pitching Matchup:
- Yu Darvish (Padres): 90.2 IP, 23.1% K%, 6.7% BB%, .154 ISO vs. R
- Braxton Garrett (Marlins): 135.2 IP, 23.3% K%, 3.4% BB%, .177 ISO vs. R
Key Insights:
- Darvish’s strong strikeout rate and control against right-handers.
- Garrett’s vulnerability to power from right-handed hitters.
- Padres’ lineup featuring Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado can exploit Garrett’s weaknesses.
BET – Padres Moneyline
- His consistent performance and ability to generate strikeouts.
- The Padres’ improving offensive form.
Maximize your betting and fantasy picks with Oddsjam, designed to help you quickly identify the most reliable bets in today’s games.
Happy betting!
