MLB Preview Friday 5/17/24

Welcome to today’s MLB preview! We have a full slate of games, and this article will focus primarily on pitching matchups. Let’s dive into each game, providing key insights and statistics to help you prepare for the day ahead.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles – 7:05 PM EDT – Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Pitching Matchup:

• Seattle: Bryce Miller (RHP) – 3.88 ERA, 24% K%, 6% BB%
• Baltimore: John Means (LHP) – 2.80 ERA, 16% K%, 3% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Miller’s ability to generate strikeouts (24% K%) could challenge the Orioles, who have a .316 wOBA against right-handers.
• Means has been solid with a 2.80 ERA, relying on control (3% BB%) to manage a Mariners lineup that has a .314 wOBA versus lefties.

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees – 7:05 PM EDT – Yankee Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Chicago: Mike Clevinger (RHP) – 3.85 ERA, 20% K%, 8% BB%
• New York: Nestor Cortes (LHP) – 4.54 ERA, 24% K%, 6% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• The Yankees boast a strong .343 wOBA against righties, posing a tough challenge for Clevinger.
• Cortes’ ability to limit hard contact (29% HC%) is crucial against a White Sox lineup that struggles against lefties (.204 wOBA).

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays – 7:07 PM EDT – Rogers Centre

Pitching Matchup:

• Tampa Bay: Tyler Alexander (LHP) – 4.95 ERA, 22% K%, 5% BB%
• Toronto: Chris Bassitt (RHP) – 3.86 ERA, 22% K%, 8% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Alexander faces a Blue Jays team with a .322 wOBA against left-handers, potentially exploiting his .347 wOBA allowed.
• Bassitt’s consistency and 42% ground ball rate will be key against the Rays’ .308 wOBA versus righties.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians – 7:10 PM EDT – Progressive Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Minnesota: Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP) – 4.25 ERA, 22% K%, 7% BB%
• Cleveland: Triston McKenzie (RHP) – 3.97 ERA, 21% K%, 15% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• The Twins’ .336 wOBA against right-handers gives them an edge against McKenzie, who has command issues (15% BB%).
• Woods Richardson will need to navigate a Guardians lineup that has a balanced approach with a .318 wOBA against righties.

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins – 7:10 PM EDT – LoanDepot Park

Pitching Matchup:

• New York: Christian Scott (RHP) – 2.84 ERA, 28% K%, 6% BB%
• Miami: Jesus Luzardo (LHP) – 3.94 ERA, 28% K%, 8% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Scott’s impressive strikeout rate (28%) and low ERA (2.84) make him a tough opponent for the Marlins, who have a .245 wOBA against righties.
• Luzardo’s strikeout ability (28%) will be tested against a Mets lineup that has a .283 wOBA versus lefties.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves – 7:20 PM EDT – Truist Park

Pitching Matchup:

• San Diego: Matt Waldron (RHP) – 4.91 ERA, 19% K%, 8% BB%
• Atlanta: Max Fried (LHP) – 2.93 ERA, 24% K%, 7% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Waldron’s struggles with giving up hard contact (31% HC%) could be problematic against a powerful Braves lineup (.344 wOBA vs. RHP).
• Fried’s excellent ground ball rate (60% GB%) and low ERA (2.93) give him an edge against the Padres, who have a .277 wOBA against lefties.

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Oakland Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals – 7:40 PM EDT – Kauffman Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Oakland: Kyle Muller (LHP) – 6.62 ERA, 16% K%, 9% BB%
• Kansas City: Cole Ragans (LHP) – 3.72 ERA, 28% K%, 10% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Muller’s high ERA (6.62) and command issues (9% BB%) could be exploited by the Royals, who have a .295 wOBA against lefties.
• Ragans’ solid strikeout rate (28%) will be crucial against an Athletics lineup with a .324 wOBA versus lefties.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers – 8:05 PM EDT – Globe Life Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Los Angeles: Tyler Anderson (LHP) – 4.78 ERA, 19% K%, 10% BB%
• Texas: Andrew Heaney (LHP) – 4.21 ERA, 23% K%, 9% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Anderson’s high ERA (4.78) and issues with walks (10% BB%) could be a problem against the Rangers, who have a .325 wOBA against lefties.
• Heaney’s strikeout ability (23%) will be tested against an Angels lineup with a .347 wOBA against left-handers.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros – 8:10 PM EDT – Minute Maid Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Milwaukee: Freddy Peralta (RHP) – 3.81 ERA, 31% K%, 8% BB%
• Houston: Hunter Brown (RHP) – 5.55 ERA, 26% K%, 9% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Peralta’s impressive strikeout rate (31%) and ability to limit hard contact (30% HC%) give him an advantage against the Astros, who have a .363 wOBA against righties.
• Brown’s high ERA (5.55) and command struggles (9% BB%) could be exploited by a Brewers lineup with a .295 wOBA against right-handers.

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Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals – 8:15 PM EDT – Busch Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Boston: Brayan Bello (RHP) – 4.05 ERA, 20% K%, 7% BB%
• St. Louis: Kyle Gibson (RHP) – 4.52 ERA, 20% K%, 7% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Bello’s solid ground ball rate (55% GB%) will be key against a Cardinals lineup with a .308 wOBA against righties.
• Gibson’s struggles with hard contact (32% HC%) could be an issue against a Red Sox lineup with a .34 wOBA against right-handers.

Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – 9:40 PM EDT – Chase Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Detroit: Tarik Skubal (LHP) – 2.51 ERA, 32% K%, 4% BB%
• Arizona: Ryne Nelson (RHP) – 5.31 ERA, 16% K%, 7% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Skubal’s exceptional strikeout rate (32%) and low ERA (2.51) make him a tough opponent for the Diamondbacks, who have a .379 wOBA against lefties.
• Nelson’s high ERA (5.31) and low strikeout rate (16%) could be exploited by a Tigers lineup with a .289 wOBA against right-handers.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – 10:10 PM EDT – Dodger Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Cincinnati: Frankie Montas (RHP) – 4.02 ERA, 18% K%, 9% BB%
• Los Angeles: James Paxton (LHP) – 3.95 ERA, 22% K%, 10% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Montas’ command issues (9% BB%) could be problematic against a Dodgers lineup with a .344 wOBA against righties.
• Paxton’s solid strikeout rate (22%) will be crucial against a Reds lineup with a .316 wOBA against left-handers.

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Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants – 10:15 PM EDT – Oracle Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Colorado: Ryan Feltner (RHP) – 5.50 ERA, 20% K%, 10% BB%
• San Francisco: Kyle Harrison (LHP) – 3.72 ERA, 23% K%, 8% BB%

Game Breakdown:

• Feltner’s high ERA (5.50) and command issues (10% BB%) could be exploited by a Giants lineup with a .297 wOBA against righties.
• Harrison’s solid strikeout rate (23%) and ability to limit hard contact (31% HC%) give him an edge against a Rockies lineup with a .312 wOBA against left-handers.

This concludes our pitching preview for today’s MLB DFS slate. Stay tuned for our breakdown of top hitters and stacks later today. Good luck with your lineups!