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MLB

MLB Preview Wednesday 6/19/24

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C Galligan  
<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS preview! With a full 15-game slate on tap, we’re diving deep into the pitching matchups to help set the stage for your lineups. We’ll provide key insights and stats for each game, making it easier for you to navigate this busy day.

Let’s break down the matchups and highlight what to watch for as you build your DFS lineups.

Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves – 12:20 PM EDT – Truist Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Skubal’s dominance on the mound is evident with his high strikeout rate and low xwOBA. He also boasts a solid ground ball rate (49%), making him a tough matchup for the Braves.
  • Lopez has been effective but struggles with control (10% BB%). His 28% strikeout rate highlights his potential, but inconsistency is a concern.
  • The Braves’ offense is strong against lefties (.320 wOBA vs. LHP), while the Tigers have a more balanced approach against righties (.309 wOBA vs. RHP).

Key Points:

  • Skubal’s ability to induce ground balls will be crucial.
  • Lopez’s control issues could be a problem against a patient Tigers lineup.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – 12:35 PM EDT – PNC Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Greene’s high strikeout potential is offset by his control issues (10% BB%). His xERA suggests he’s better than his ERA indicates.
  • Keller’s consistency is reflected in his ERA, but his higher xERA points to potential regression.
  • The Reds have an edge offensively with a .330 wOBA vs. RHP, while the Pirates are balanced with a .312 wOBA vs. RHP.

Key Points:

  • Greene’s strikeout ability can neutralize the Pirates’ offense.
  • Keller needs to limit hard contact to avoid potential damage.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins – 12:40 PM EDT – loanDepot Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Gibson has struggled with consistency, indicated by his high xwOBA and xERA.
  • Chirinos lacks strikeout upside (14% K%) and gives up hard contact (37% HC%).
  • The Cardinals’ offense (.311 wOBA vs. RHP) should find success against Chirinos, while the Marlins have struggled offensively (.289 wOBA vs. RHP).

Key Points:

  • Gibson needs to improve his consistency to avoid big innings.
  • Chirinos’ low strikeout rate makes him vulnerable against a solid Cardinals lineup.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies – 1:05 PM EDT – Citizens Bank Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Waldron’s underlying stats suggest he’s outperformed his skillset, making him a risky option.
  • Suarez is a reliable lefty with good strikeout numbers and a high ground ball rate (50% GB%).
  • The Phillies (.342 wOBA vs. RHP) have a potent offense, while the Padres (.295 wOBA vs. LHP) struggle against lefties.

Key Points:

  • Suarez’s ground ball rate can limit damage from the Padres’ hitters.
  • Waldron needs to maintain his overperformance to keep the Phillies at bay.

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM EDT – Wrigley Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Howard offers limited strikeout upside but keeps his ERA in check.
  • Hendricks is struggling significantly, with his high xERA and xwOBA indicating major regression.
  • The Giants have an offensive edge (.344 wOBA vs. RHP) compared to the Cubs (.305 wOBA vs. RHP).

Key Points:

  • Howard’s ability to limit hard contact is crucial.
  • Hendricks must avoid regression to keep the Cubs competitive.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals – 4:05 PM EDT – Nationals Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Pfaadt’s xwOBA suggests better days ahead despite his high ERA.
  • Corbin continues to struggle with giving up hard contact and lacks strikeout potential.
  • The Diamondbacks’ offense excels against lefties (.345 wOBA vs. LHP), while the Nationals have balanced offense.

Key Points:

  • Pfaadt’s potential for improvement is a positive for Arizona.
  • Corbin’s struggles present an opportunity for the Diamondbacks’ hitters.

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians – 6:40 PM EDT – Progressive Field

Pitching Matchup:

  • Bryan Woo (RHP, SEA): 3.34 ERA, 24% K%, 0.215 xwOBA
  • Tanner Bibee (RHP, CLE): 3.31 ERA, 25% K%, 0.309 xwOBA

Game Insights:

  • Woo has been impressive with low xwOBA and solid strikeout numbers.
  • Bibee offers similar strikeout potential but has a higher xwOBA, indicating some risk.
  • The Mariners’ offense (.293 wOBA vs. RHP) is slightly weaker than the Guardians’ (.314 wOBA vs. RHP).

Key Points:

  • Woo’s strong underlying metrics make him a reliable option.
  • Bibee needs to minimize risk to keep the Guardians competitive.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees – 7:05 PM EDT – Yankee Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Povich has been inconsistent, with low strikeout numbers and a high ERA.
  • Cole is dominant with elite strikeout numbers and strong overall metrics.
  • The Yankees are dangerous against lefties (.319 wOBA vs. LHP), while the Orioles struggle more against righties (.345 wOBA vs. RHP).

Key Points:

  • Povich needs to improve his consistency to compete against a tough Yankees lineup.
  • Cole’s dominance makes him a top option on the slate.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays – 7:07 PM EDT – Rogers Centre

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Bello has solid ground ball numbers (56% GB%) but struggles with hard contact.
  • Gausman is an elite strikeout pitcher with strong underlying metrics.
  • The Blue Jays’ offense is potent against righties (.291 wOBA), while the Red Sox have a balanced attack (.324 wOBA vs. RHP).

Key Points:

  • Bello’s ground ball rate can limit damage.
  • Gausman’s strikeout potential makes him a strong option.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins – 7:40 PM EDT – Target Field

Pitching Matchup:

  • Taj Bradley (RHP, TB): 5.22 ERA, 29% K%, 0.332 xwOBA
  • Joe Ryan (RHP, MIN): 4.07 ERA, 29% K%, 0.280 xwOBA

Game Insights:

  • Bradley has high strikeout potential but struggles with consistency and hard contact.
  • Ryan is solid with strong strikeout numbers and good overall metrics.
  • The Rays have a slightly weaker offense against righties (.304 wOBA) compared to the Twins’ (.315).

Key Points:

  • Bradley needs to limit hard contact to be effective.
  • Ryan’s consistency makes him a reliable option.

New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers – 8:05 PM EDT – Globe Life Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Manaea has decent strikeout numbers but is prone to giving up hard contact.
  • Heaney offers similar upside but also struggles with hard contact and control.
  • Both teams are evenly matched offensively, with the Mets having a slight edge against lefties with a .349 wOBA compared to the Rangers’ .300.

Key Points:

  • Manaea’s strikeout ability can neutralize the Rangers’ offense.
  • Heaney must limit hard contact to succeed.

Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox – 8:10 PM EDT – Guaranteed Rate Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Brown is a high-strikeout pitcher but has struggled with consistency this season.
  • Crochet offers elite strikeout potential with strong underlying metrics.
  • The Astros have a balanced offense (.318 wOBA vs. LHP), while the White Sox are weaker with a .284 wOBA vs. RHP.

Key Points:

  • Brown needs to find consistency to be effective.
  • Crochet’s strikeout potential makes him a strong option.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies – 8:40 PM EDT – Coors Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Miller is solid with decent strikeout numbers and a good ground ball rate.
  • Feltner struggles significantly, with a high ERA and low strikeout numbers.
  • The Dodgers have a potent offense against righties (.351 wOBA), while the Rockies struggle more against righties with a .337 wOBA.

Key Points:

  • Miller’s ground ball rate can limit damage at Coors Field.
  • Feltner’s struggles present an opportunity for the Dodgers’ hitters.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels – 9:38 PM EDT – Angel Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Peralta offers high strikeout potential with strong underlying metrics.
  • Anderson has struggled with consistency and offers low strikeout upside.
  • The Brewers have a strong offense against lefties with a .306 wOBA, while the Angels have a potent offense against righties with a .366 wOBA.

Key Points:

  • Peralta’s strikeout ability can neutralize the Angels’ offense.
  • Anderson needs to limit hard contact to be effective.

Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics – 9:40 PM EDT – Oakland Coliseum

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insights:

  • Ragans is solid with good strikeout numbers and strong underlying metrics.
  • Medina struggles with control and gives up plenty of hard contact.
  • The Royals have a balanced offense with a .319 wOBA vs. RHP, while the Athletics have struggled more with a .309 wOBA vs. LHP.

Key Points:

  • Ragans’ strong underlying metrics make him a reliable option.
  • Medina’s struggles present an opportunity for the Royals’ hitters.

That wraps up our pitching-focused preview for today’s MLB DFS slate. We’ll dive into the top hitters and stacks later today. Stay tuned and good luck with your lineups!

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