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MLB

MLB Preview Wednesday 7/10/24

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C Galligan  
<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS preview! We’ve got an exciting slate of games lined up with intriguing pitching matchups and plenty of potential for DFS success.

In this article, we’ll break down each game, focusing on the pitchers and overall game dynamics. Let’s dive in!

Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals – 1:45 PM EDT – Busch Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: This interleague matchup features two right-handers with contrasting styles. Alec Marsh has struggled this season with a 4.57 ERA and a high xERA of 5.34, indicating his performance might not improve soon. His 21% strikeout rate is decent, but his 8% walk rate could be problematic against a Cardinals lineup that has shown some power.

Andre Pallante, on the other hand, has a solid ground ball rate of 61%, which helps him limit damage despite a lower strikeout rate of 19%. The Royals’ offense has been inconsistent, and their .313 wOBA against righties doesn’t inspire much confidence. Look for Pallante to keep the ball on the ground and limit Kansas City’s scoring opportunities.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox – 2:10 PM EDT – Guaranteed Rate Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Bailey Ober has been a bright spot for the Twins with a 4.12 ERA and an impressive 27% strikeout rate. His ability to miss bats and limit walks (6% BB rate) makes him a strong candidate to handle a White Sox lineup that has struggled with consistency.

Erick Fedde, meanwhile, boasts a respectable 3.13 ERA, but his underlying metrics (3.57 xERA, 3.91 SIERA) suggest he’s been slightly overperforming. The Twins’ offense has been potent, especially against right-handers, posting a .342 wOBA. This matchup could see Minnesota taking advantage of Fedde’s regression potential.

Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles – 6:35 PM EDT – Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Shota Imanaga brings a 3.16 ERA and a solid 25% strikeout rate into this game, facing an Orioles lineup that has been formidable against lefties (.337 wOBA). His ability to limit walks (4% BB rate) will be crucial in navigating Baltimore’s dangerous bats.

Corbin Burnes, with a 2.32 ERA and a dominant 24% strikeout rate, is one of the top arms on the slate. The Cubs have struggled mightily against right-handers, posting a low .295 wOBA. Burnes should have the upper hand in this matchup, potentially racking up strikeouts and limiting scoring.

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres – 6:40 PM EDT – Petco Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Bryce Miller‘s 3.84 ERA and 24% strikeout rate make him an intriguing option against a Padres lineup that has been inconsistent. However, his 4.25 xERA indicates some potential regression, and the Padres’ .337 wOBA against righties could pose a challenge.

Mike King has been steady with a 3.51 ERA and a solid 27% strikeout rate. The Mariners have struggled against right-handers, posting a .296 wOBA, which gives King the edge. Look for a low-scoring affair with both pitchers having the potential to shine.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers – 6:40 PM EDT – Comerica Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Tanner Bibee has been impressive with a 3.67 ERA and a 28% strikeout rate, facing a Tigers lineup that has been one of the worst against right-handers (.299 wOBA). His ability to generate swings and misses should make him a strong play.

Reese Olson has a respectable 3.22 ERA and a decent 23% strikeout rate, but his 7% walk rate could be an issue against a disciplined Guardians lineup. Cleveland’s .318 wOBA against righties is not overwhelming, but they have the edge in this matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays – 6:50 PM EDT – Tropicana Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Marcus Stroman‘s 3.58 ERA and high ground ball rate (50%) will be tested against a Rays lineup that has been strong against right-handers (.302 wOBA). Stroman’s low strikeout rate (18%) might limit his upside, but his ability to induce grounders could keep the game in check.

Zach Eflin has a solid 4.19 ERA and a minuscule 2% walk rate, making him a reliable option. The Yankees have been inconsistent against righties, with a .339 wOBA, but Eflin’s control and ability to limit hard contact (32% HC rate) give him the advantage.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies – 7:05 PM EDT – Citizens Bank Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Gavin Stone has been solid with a 3.03 ERA and a decent 19% strikeout rate. However, his 4.34 SIERA suggests some regression could be coming. The Phillies’ .318 wOBA against righties could pose a challenge, but Stone’s ability to limit hard contact (27% HC rate) will be crucial.

Cristopher Sanchez has been impressive with a 2.96 ERA and a high ground ball rate (59%). The Dodgers’ potent lineup (.324 wOBA against lefties) will be a tough test, but Sanchez’s ability to keep the ball on the ground could mitigate the damage.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets – 7:10 PM EDT – Citi Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Patrick Corbin‘s 5.49 ERA and high xERA (6.23) make him a risky option against a Mets lineup that has been strong against lefties (.323 wOBA). Corbin’s low strikeout rate (16%) and high hard contact rate (35%) could lead to a rough outing.

Luis Severino, with a 3.83 ERA and 18% strikeout rate, has been solid but unspectacular. The Nationals’ offense has been average against right-handers (.312 wOBA), giving Severino the edge. However, his ability to limit walks (8% BB rate) will be key to his success.

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds – 7:10 PM EDT – Great American Ball Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Kyle Freeland‘s 6.62 ERA and low strikeout rate (13%) make him a risky play in the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park. The Reds have been strong against lefties (.305 wOBA), and Freeland’s high xERA (5.23) suggests more struggles ahead.

Frankie Montas has been decent with a 4.19 ERA and a 19% strikeout rate. The Rockies’ offense has been average against right-handers (.311 wOBA), but Montas’ ability to limit hard contact (25% HC rate) gives him the upper hand.

Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox – 7:10 PM EDT – Fenway Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: JP Sears has a 4.74 ERA and a low strikeout rate (17%), making him a risky option against a Red Sox lineup that has been strong against lefties (.339 wOBA). Sears’ high xERA (4.61) suggests more struggles could be ahead.

Nick Pivetta has been impressive with a 4.06 ERA and a high strikeout rate (28%). The Athletics have struggled against right-handers (.311 wOBA), giving Pivetta a favorable matchup. His ability to limit walks (7% BB rate) will be key to his success.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers – 8:10 PM EDT – American Family Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Martin Perez has a 4.72 ERA and a low strikeout rate (17%), making him a risky option against a Brewers lineup that has been strong against lefties (.331 wOBA). Perez’s high xERA (5.70) suggests more struggles could be ahead.

Tobias Myers has been solid with a 3.52 ERA and a decent 22% strikeout rate. The Pirates’ offense has been average against right-handers (.296 wOBA), but Myers’ ability to limit walks (7% BB rate) gives him the edge.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros – 8:10 PM EDT – Minute Maid Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Bryan Hoeing has a 1.99 ERA, but his underlying metrics (5.13 xERA, 3.39 SIERA) suggest he’s been overperforming. The Astros have been strong against right-handers (.326 wOBA), making this a tough matchup for Hoeing.

Framber Valdez has been solid with a 3.84 ERA and a high ground ball rate (61%). The Marlins have struggled against left-handers (.292 wOBA), giving Valdez a favorable matchup. His ability to limit hard contact (35% HC rate) will be key to his success.

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels – 9:38 PM EDT – Angel Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Michael Lorenzen has a 3.21 ERA but a high xERA (4.84) and low strikeout rate (18%) suggest some regression could be coming. The Angels’ offense has been strong against right-handers (.297 wOBA), making this a challenging matchup.

Griffin Canning has a 4.87 ERA and a low strikeout rate (16%), making him a risky option against a potent Rangers lineup (.298 wOBA against righties). His high xERA (4.84) suggests more struggles could be ahead.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – 9:40 PM EDT – Chase Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Charlie Morton has a 3.96 ERA and a solid 24% strikeout rate, facing a Diamondbacks lineup that has been average against right-handers (.320 wOBA). Morton’s ability to generate swings and misses (12% swinging strike rate) gives him the edge.

Slade Cecconi has a 6.10 ERA and a low strikeout rate (19%), making him a risky option against a potent Braves lineup (.301 wOBA against righties). His high xERA (4.11) suggests more struggles could be ahead.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants – 9:45 PM EDT – Oracle Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Preview: Chris Bassitt has a 3.43 ERA and a decent 21% strikeout rate, facing a Giants lineup that has been strong against right-handers (.307 wOBA). Bassitt’s ability to limit walks (9% BB rate) will be key to his success.

Logan Webb has been impressive with a 3.09 ERA and a high ground ball rate (58%). The Blue Jays have struggled against right-handers (.307 wOBA), giving Webb a favorable matchup. His ability to limit hard contact (31% HC rate) will be crucial.

That’s it for today’s MLB DFS preview. We’ll dive into the top hitters and stacks later today, so stay tuned for more insights! Good luck with your lineups, and may your DFS picks bring you success!

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