MLB Top Hitters 5/21/24 Main Slate

In today’s MLB DFS slate, several hitters stand out based on their matchups, recent form, and underlying statistics. Here’s a detailed look at the top 5 DFS hitters for today, along with a few under-the-radar plays.

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Top 5 DFS Hitters

1. Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Bryan Woo (SEA)
   
   • Insights:
     • Judge has been a force against right-handed pitching, boasting a .323 ISO and a .457 xwOBA.
     • Woo struggles against right-handed power, allowing a .231 ISO to lefties and only slightly better numbers to righties.
   • Key Points:
     • High strikeout rate against righties but immense power potential.
     • Woo’s tendency to allow hard contact makes Judge a prime candidate for a big game.
       
2. Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Bryan Woo (SEA)
   
   • Insights:
     • Soto has an excellent .267 ISO and .436 xwOBA against right-handed pitchers.
     • Woo’s high walk rate against lefties (12.5%) could give Soto more opportunities to get on base and drive in runs.
   • Key Points:
     • Plate discipline combined with power makes Soto a top play.
     • Favorable matchup against a pitcher who struggles with left-handed hitters.
       
3. Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) vs. Javier Assad (CHC)
   
   • Insights:
     • Acuña has a .230 ISO and a .437 xwOBA against right-handed pitchers.
     • Assad’s vulnerability to left-handed power (.129 ISO allowed) can be exploited by Acuña’s balanced approach.
   • Key Points:
     • Consistent power and speed threat.
     • Assad’s control issues could lead to multiple opportunities for Acuña.
       
4. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) vs. Griffin Canning (LAA)
   
   • Insights:
     • Alvarez has a monstrous .285 ISO and .445 xwOBA against right-handed pitching.
     • Canning’s struggles with right-handed power (.213 ISO allowed) play into Alvarez’s strengths.
   • Key Points:
     • Elite power hitter in a favorable matchup.
     • Potential for multiple extra-base hits given Canning’s weaknesses.
       
5. Freddie Freeman (LAD) vs. Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)
   
   • Insights:
     • Freeman boasts a .221 ISO and a .413 xwOBA against right-handers.
     • Pfaadt’s .227 ISO allowed to lefties makes Freeman an excellent option.
   • Key Points:
     • Consistent hitter with high upside in this matchup.
     • Pfaadt’s struggles against left-handed power hitters make Freeman a top play.

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Under the Radar Plays

1. Michael Harris II (ATL) vs. Javier Assad (CHC)
   
   • Insights:
     • Harris has a .176 ISO and a .354 xwOBA against right-handers.
     • Assad’s control issues and tendency to allow power to lefties (.129 ISO allowed) can be taken advantage of by Harris.
   • Key Points:
     • Lower ownership potential.
     • Strong upside given the matchup and Harris’s ability to drive the ball.
       
2. Ryan O’Hearn (BAL) vs. Lance Lynn (STL)
   
   • Insights:
     • O’Hearn has a .190 ISO and a .355 xwOBA against right-handed pitching.
     • Lynn struggles significantly against left-handed hitters, allowing a .242 ISO.
   • Key Points:
     • Favorable power matchup.
     • Potential for multiple RBI opportunities in this spot.
       
3. Austin Wells (NYY) vs. Bryan Woo (SEA)
   
   • Insights:
     • Wells has shown potential with a .197 ISO and a .397 xwOBA against right-handers in limited at-bats.
     • Woo’s struggles against left-handed hitters make Wells an intriguing under-the-radar option.
   • Key Points:
     • Low ownership and high upside.
     • Favorable ballpark for left-handed power.
       
4. Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs. Lance Lynn (STL)
   
   • Insights:
     • Henderson has a .293 ISO and a .386 xwOBA against right-handed pitching.
     • Lynn’s significant struggles against left-handed power make Henderson a strong under-the-radar play.
   • Key Points:
     • High power potential in a favorable matchup.
     • Could be a key differentiator in DFS lineups.

These top hitters and under-the-radar plays provide a mix of high upside and favorable matchups for today’s DFS slate. By focusing on these players, DFS participants can maximize their chances of success. Good luck with your lineups!