MLB Top Hitters 6/12/24

Today’s MLB slate is packed with exciting matchups that offer some prime opportunities for high-scoring hitters. We’ve identified the top three DFS hitters for today’s games, along with two under-the-radar plays that can provide excellent value.

Let’s dive into the statistics and matchups to explain why each player is a top play today.

Top 3 DFS Hitters

1. Bryce Harper (Philadelphia Phillies)

• Matchup: Phillies @ Red Sox, 7:10pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Power and Discipline: Bryce Harper has an impressive .219 ISO and a .404 xwOBA, showcasing his power and ability to get on base. His 15.9% walk rate further underscores his disciplined approach at the plate.
  • Favorable Pitcher Matchup: Harper faces Nick Pivetta, who struggles against left-handed hitters, allowing a .260 ISO. Harper’s left-handed power fits perfectly against Pivetta’s weaknesses.
  • Ballpark Boost: Fenway Park is a hitter-friendly venue, especially for left-handed power hitters like Harper. This enhances his potential for extra-base hits and home runs.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Outfield

2. Elly De La Cruz (Cincinnati Reds)

• Matchup: Guardians @ Reds, 7:10pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Power and Speed: Elly De La Cruz boasts a .222 ISO and a .337 xwOBA. His ability to hit for power and steal bases makes him a dual threat in DFS.
  • Pitcher Vulnerability: Tanner Bibee allows a high ISO (.196) to right-handed batters. De La Cruz, a switch-hitter, can exploit Bibee’s vulnerabilities from the right side.
  • Hitter-Friendly Ballpark: Great American Ball Park is known for its hitter-friendly dimensions, which should help De La Cruz’s power numbers.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Shortstop

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3. Paul Goldschmidt (St. Louis Cardinals)

• Matchup: Pirates @ Cardinals, 7:45pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Consistency and Power: Goldschmidt has a .137 ISO and a .359 xwOBA against left-handed pitchers. His consistency and power make him a top DFS play.
  • Favorable Pitcher Matchup: Bailey Falter struggles against right-handed batters, allowing a .181 ISO and a .341 xwOBA. Goldschmidt’s ability to hit lefties well positions him perfectly against Falter.
  • Ballpark Factor: Busch Stadium might not be the most hitter-friendly park, but Goldschmidt’s skill set can transcend park factors, especially against a struggling pitcher.
• Suggested Lineup Position: First Base

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. Bryan De La Cruz (Miami Marlins)

• Matchup: Marlins @ Mets, 7:10pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Solid Metrics: Bryan De La Cruz has a .360 xwOBA and a .109 ISO. While not as powerful as some top hitters, his ability to get on base and produce runs makes him valuable.
  • Pitcher Vulnerability: David Peterson’s struggles against right-handed batters (.163 ISO, .342 xwOBA) can be exploited by De La Cruz’s balanced approach.
  • Underrated Consistency: De La Cruz’s consistent ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a sneaky good play.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Outfield

2. Jake Fraley (Cincinnati Reds)

• Matchup: Guardians @ Reds, 7:10pm ET
• Key Insights:
  • Power Potential: Jake Fraley has a .164 ISO and a .320 xwOBA against right-handed pitchers. His power potential is significant, especially in a hitter-friendly park.
  • Favorable Matchup: Facing Tanner Bibee, who allows a .196 ISO to right-handed batters, Fraley can capitalize on any mistakes.
  • Ballpark Boost: Great American Ball Park enhances Fraley’s power numbers, making him a strong under-the-radar play.
• Suggested Lineup Position: Outfield

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Conclusion

Today’s MLB DFS slate presents several excellent hitting opportunities. Bryce Harper, Elly De La Cruz, and Paul Goldschmidt are top-tier options based on their power, consistency, and favorable matchups. For those looking for value, Bryan De La Cruz and Jake Fraley offer solid upside in under-the-radar spots. Use these insights to build a winning lineup and maximize your DFS potential. Good luck!