MLB Top Pitchers 5/17/24

Finding the right pitchers is crucial for building a winning DFS lineup. Today’s slate features several excellent pitching options, as well as some under-the-radar plays that could provide value.

Here are the top MLB DFS pitchers for today, along with detailed insights and statistical analysis to back up each pick.

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Top DFS Pitchers

1. Freddy Peralta (Milwaukee Brewers) vs. Houston Astros

Insights:

• Freddy Peralta has been dominant against left-handed hitters, posting a 28.2% strikeout rate and a .281 xwOBA.
• Houston’s lineup can be potent, but Peralta’s ability to neutralize left-handed power makes him a top play.

Key Points:

• K%: 28.2% vs. LHP, 34.3% vs. RHP
• BB%: 9.4% vs. LHP, 6.7% vs. RHP
• ISO: .144 vs. LHP, .184 vs. RHP
• xwOBA: .281 vs. LHP, .300 vs. RHP

Why He’s a Top Play:

• Peralta’s elite strikeout potential and effectiveness against both lefties and righties make him a high-ceiling DFS option, especially against a lineup that can struggle with high-K pitchers.

2. Triston McKenzie (Cleveland Guardians) vs. Minnesota Twins

Insights:

• Triston McKenzie has shown dominance against right-handed hitters, with a 25.8% strikeout rate and a .266 xwOBA.
• The Twins have a high strikeout rate, which enhances McKenzie’s upside.

Key Points:

• K%: 25.8% vs. RHP, 14.9% vs. LHP
• BB%: 11.7% vs. RHP, 18.2% vs. LHP
• ISO: .106 vs. RHP, .173 vs. LHP
• xwOBA: .266 vs. RHP, .397 vs. LHP

Why He’s a Top Play:

• McKenzie’s ability to rack up strikeouts, especially against a strikeout-prone lineup like the Twins, makes him a top-tier DFS pitcher with significant upside.

3. Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins) vs. New York Mets

Insights:

• Jesus Luzardo has been exceptional against left-handed hitters, with a 31.0% strikeout rate and a .283 xwOBA.
• The Mets struggle against left-handed pitching, which boosts Luzardo’s DFS appeal.

Key Points:

• K%: 31.0% vs. LHP, 26.9% vs. RHP
• BB%: 5.9% vs. LHP, 8.4% vs. RHP
• ISO: .139 vs. LHP, .187 vs. RHP
• xwOBA: .283 vs. LHP, .320 vs. RHP

Why He’s a Top Play:

• Luzardo’s high strikeout rate and ability to limit damage against a Mets lineup that struggles against lefties make him a strong DFS option.

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4. Bryce Miller (Seattle Mariners) vs. Baltimore Orioles

Insights:

• Bryce Miller has been dominant against right-handed hitters, with a 26.0% strikeout rate and a .286 xwOBA.
• The Orioles’ lineup has vulnerabilities against right-handed pitching, which Miller can exploit.

Key Points:

• K%: 26.0% vs. RHP, 21.1% vs. LHP
• BB%: 4.1% vs. RHP, 7.3% vs. LHP
• ISO: .112 vs. RHP, .240 vs. LHP
• xwOBA: .286 vs. RHP, .377 vs. LHP

Why He’s a Top Play:

• Miller’s ability to dominate right-handed hitters and limit walks provides him with a solid floor and ceiling in DFS, especially against an Orioles lineup that can be inconsistent.

5. Max Fried (Atlanta Braves) vs. San Diego Padres

Insights:

• Max Fried excels against right-handed hitters, with a 24.0% strikeout rate and a .259 xwOBA.
• The Padres’ lineup can be neutralized by a strong left-handed pitcher like Fried.

Key Points:

• K%: 24.0% vs. RHP, 22.8% vs. LHP
• BB%: 6.3% vs. RHP, 10.9% vs. LHP
• ISO: .089 vs. RHP, .127 vs. LHP
• xwOBA: .259 vs. RHP, .333 vs. LHP

Why He’s a Top Play:

• Fried’s ability to suppress right-handed power and generate strikeouts makes him a reliable DFS option with significant upside against the Padres.

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Under-the-Radar Plays

John Means (Baltimore Orioles) vs. Seattle Mariners

Insights:

• John Means has been effective against right-handed hitters, posting a 16.3% strikeout rate and a .318 xwOBA.
• The Mariners’ lineup has a high strikeout rate, which Means can capitalize on.

Key Points:

• K%: 16.3% vs. RHP, 14.3% vs. LHP
• BB%: 2.9% vs. RHP, 3.6% vs. LHP
• ISO: .173 vs. RHP, .269 vs. LHP
• xwOBA: .318 vs. RHP, .353 vs. LHP

Why He’s a Sneaky Play:

• Means’ control and ability to limit damage against right-handed hitters make him a solid under-the-radar DFS option, particularly against a strikeout-prone Mariners lineup.

Hunter Brown (Houston Astros) vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Insights:

• Hunter Brown has a solid strikeout rate against right-handed hitters, with a 25.3% K rate and a .317 xwOBA.
• The Brewers’ lineup has been inconsistent, offering Brown an opportunity to excel.

Key Points:

• K%: 25.3% vs. RHP, 26.8% vs. LHP
• BB%: 7.8% vs. RHP, 10.0% vs. LHP
• ISO: .215 vs. RHP, .175 vs. LHP
• xwOBA: .317 vs. RHP, .326 vs. LHP

Why He’s a Sneaky Play:

• Brown’s strikeout potential and matchup against a volatile Brewers lineup provide him with a high ceiling as an under-the-radar DFS option.

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Conclusion

Today’s DFS slate features several top-tier pitchers and a few under-the-radar plays that can help you build a winning lineup. Focus on pitchers with high strikeout rates and favorable matchups to maximize your DFS potential. Good luck!