MLB Top Stacks 5/17/24

Stacking the right offenses is crucial for a successful DFS lineup. Today’s slate features several matchups that are ripe for stacking, especially against poor pitchers. Here are the top MLB DFS stacks for today, along with one under-the-radar stack to consider.

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Top DFS Stacks

1. New York Yankees vs. Mike Clevinger (Chicago White Sox)

Insights:

• The Yankees face Mike Clevinger, who has struggled with a high ISO (.205 vs. LHP, .131 vs. RHP) and moderate strikeout rates.
• Clevinger’s 8.1% walk rate against left-handed hitters can lead to extra baserunners and run-scoring opportunities.

Key Points:

• Clevinger’s K%: 18.7% vs. LHP, 20.7% vs. RHP
• Clevinger’s BB%: 8.1% vs. LHP, 7.0% vs. RHP
• Clevinger’s ISO: .205 vs. LHP, .131 vs. RHP
• Clevinger’s xwOBA: .325 vs. LHP, .307 vs. RHP

Why Stack the Yankees:

• The Yankees’ lineup, featuring power hitters like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, can exploit Clevinger’s weaknesses. Judge’s .316 ISO and .456 xwOBA highlight his elite power and on-base skills.
• Lefties like Anthony Rizzo and Anthony Volpe can take advantage of Clevinger’s higher ISO and walk rates against left-handed hitters.

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2. Atlanta Braves vs. Matt Waldron (San Diego Padres)

Insights:

• Matt Waldron has been struggling, with high ISO numbers against both left-handed and right-handed hitters.
• The Braves’ lineup is loaded with power, particularly against right-handed pitching.

Key Points:

• Waldron’s K%: 17.0% vs. LHP, 20.8% vs. RHP
• Waldron’s BB%: 11.7% vs. LHP, 3.9% vs. RHP
• Waldron’s ISO: .221 vs. LHP, .206 vs. RHP
• Waldron’s xwOBA: .363 vs. LHP, .297 vs. RHP

Why Stack the Braves:

• The Braves boast hitters like Ronald Acuña Jr. and Matt Olson, who can exploit Waldron’s weaknesses. Olson’s .314 ISO and .406 xwOBA against righties make him a prime target.
• The Braves’ overall power and discipline at the plate can lead to big innings and high DFS scores.

3. Houston Astros vs. Freddy Peralta (Milwaukee Brewers)

Insights:

• While Freddy Peralta has strong strikeout numbers, his high walk rate and vulnerability to power make the Astros a solid stacking option.
• The Astros’ lineup is balanced and can capitalize on Peralta’s occasional struggles with command.

Key Points:

• Peralta’s K%: 28.2% vs. LHP, 34.3% vs. RHP
• Peralta’s BB%: 9.4% vs. LHP, 6.7% vs. RHP
• Peralta’s ISO: .144 vs. LHP, .184 vs. RHP
• Peralta’s xwOBA: .281 vs. LHP, .300 vs. RHP

Why Stack the Astros:

• The Astros feature left-handed hitters like Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker, who have the power to punish Peralta’s mistakes. Alvarez’s .286 ISO and .446 xwOBA against right-handers are particularly enticing.
• The Astros’ ability to draw walks and maintain a high on-base percentage can create multiple scoring opportunities.

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Under-the-Radar Stack

Baltimore Orioles vs. Bryce Miller (Seattle Mariners)

Insights:

• Bryce Miller has struggled more against left-handed hitters, with a higher ISO and xwOBA.
• The Orioles’ lineup has several left-handed hitters who can exploit Miller’s weaknesses.

Key Points:

• Miller’s K%: 21.1% vs. LHP, 26.0% vs. RHP
• Miller’s BB%: 7.3% vs. LHP, 4.1% vs. RHP
• Miller’s ISO: .240 vs. LHP, .112 vs. RHP
• Miller’s xwOBA: .377 vs. LHP, .286 vs. RHP

Why Stack the Orioles:

• Key hitters like Gunnar Henderson and Ryan O’Hearn have the potential to take advantage of Miller’s struggles against lefties. Henderson’s .277 ISO and .380 xwOBA vs. right-handers make him a strong candidate.
• The Orioles’ left-handed hitters can provide a cost-effective stack with high upside, making them an attractive under-the-radar option.

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Final Thoughts

Today’s DFS slate features several potent stacks against vulnerable pitchers. The Yankees, Braves, and Astros offer powerful lineups that can capitalize on their matchups, while the Orioles present a sneaky, under-the-radar stack with high potential.

Focus on these stacks to maximize your DFS lineup’s potential and take advantage of the favorable matchups. Good luck!