MLB Top Stacks 6/3/24

Stacking the right offenses is crucial for a successful DFS lineup. Let’s dive into today’s matchups to highlight the top DFS stacks and one under-the-radar stack based on the provided statistics.

1. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Adrian Houser (Milwaukee Brewers)

Insights:

• Matchup Advantage:
  • Adrian Houser has struggled with an xERA of 4.84 and an xwOBA of .340, indicating vulnerability.
  • Houser’s high walk rate (9.2%) and low strikeout rate (16%) can lead to more baserunners and scoring opportunities for the Phillies.
• Phillies’ Offense:
  • Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, and Trea Turner are key hitters with power and on-base ability.
  • The Phillies have a team wOBA of .325 against right-handed pitching, making them a potent stack against Houser.

Key Points:

• Houser’s struggles with control and limiting hard contact.
• Phillies’ powerful lineup against right-handed pitching.

2. Houston Astros vs. Dakota Hudson (St. Louis Cardinals)

Insights:

• Matchup Advantage:
  • Dakota Hudson has an xERA of 5.12 and a low strikeout rate of 14%, making him an attractive target for stacking.
  • Hudson’s high ground ball rate (52%) can be neutralized by the Astros’ lineup, which excels in hitting line drives and fly balls.
• Astros’ Offense:
  • Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, and Jose Altuve are elite hitters with high wOBA and ISO against right-handed pitching.
  • The Astros have a team wOBA of .338 and a low strikeout rate (18%) against right-handers, ensuring consistent contact and scoring potential.

Key Points:

• Hudson’s low strikeout rate and vulnerability to hard contact.
• Astros’ elite hitters with strong on-base and power numbers against righties.

3. Detroit Tigers vs. Nathan Eovaldi (Texas Rangers)

Insights:

• Matchup Advantage:
  • Nathan Eovaldi’s xERA of 4.74 and high hard contact rate (39%) make him susceptible to big innings.
  • Eovaldi struggles more against left-handed hitters, which the Tigers can exploit with their lineup.
• Tigers’ Offense:
  • Riley Greene, Javier Báez, and Akil Baddoo provide a mix of power and speed.
  • The Tigers’ lineup has shown improvement against right-handed pitching, with a team wOBA of .320 and an ISO of .170.

Key Points:

• Eovaldi’s high hard contact rate and struggles against lefties.
• Tigers’ improving lineup with balanced power and speed.

Under-the-Radar Stack

Baltimore Orioles vs. Yusei Kikuchi (Toronto Blue Jays)

Insights:

• Matchup Advantage:
  • Yusei Kikuchi has an xERA of 4.89 and a high walk rate (10%), leading to more baserunners.
  • Kikuchi’s susceptibility to home runs (1.8 HR/9) makes the Orioles’ power hitters appealing.
• Orioles’ Offense:
  • Adley Rutschman, Anthony Santander, and Ryan Mountcastle are key hitters with high ISO and wOBA against left-handed pitching.
  • The Orioles have a team wOBA of .325 and an ISO of .185 against left-handers, showcasing their ability to hit for power.

Key Points:

• Kikuchi’s high walk and home run rates.
• Orioles’ power hitters against left-handed pitching.

Summary

• Top 3 Stacks:
  1. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Adrian Houser: Exploit Houser’s control issues and lack of strikeouts.
  2. Houston Astros vs. Dakota Hudson: Take advantage of Hudson’s low strikeout rate and ground ball tendencies.
  3. Detroit Tigers vs. Nathan Eovaldi: Capitalize on Eovaldi’s high hard contact rate and struggles against lefties.
• Under-the-Radar Stack:
  • Baltimore Orioles vs. Yusei Kikuchi: Leverage Kikuchi’s high walk and home run rates with the Orioles’ power hitters.

Targeting these stacks can give you an edge in your DFS contests today. Good luck!