MLB Top Stacks 6/5/24 Early Slate

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Top Stacks preview. We will break down the top three DFS stacks for today’s slate, providing key insights into their matchups and explaining why they are prime choices for your lineups. Additionally, we’ll highlight one under-the-radar stack that could offer great value.

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1. Atlanta Braves vs. Nick Pivetta (Red Sox)

Insights:

• Matchup: The Braves face Nick Pivetta, who has shown vulnerability, particularly to left-handed hitters, with a .269 ISO allowed.
• Top Hitters:
  • Michael Harris II (L): With a .176 ISO and a .351 xwOBA, he has the potential to exploit Pivetta’s weakness against lefties.
  • Matt Olson (L): Boasting a .305 ISO and .399 xwOBA, Olson is a premier power threat in this lineup.
  • Marcell Ozuna (R): Despite being a righty, Ozuna has a .275 ISO and .406 xwOBA, making him a solid inclusion.

Key Points:

• High power potential against a pitcher with home run issues.
• Favorable hitting conditions at Fenway Park.
• Strong recent form from the Braves’ hitters.

2. Houston Astros vs. Miles Mikolas (Cardinals)

Insights:

• Matchup: Miles Mikolas has struggled with giving up power to both lefties and righties, indicated by his .202 ISO allowed to lefties and .157 to righties.
• Top Hitters:
  • Yordan Alvarez (L): With a .298 ISO and .450 xwOBA, Alvarez is a must-play against Mikolas.
  • Kyle Tucker (L): Tucker brings a .252 ISO and .402 xwOBA, providing another lefty power bat.
  • Alex Bregman (R): Bregman’s .188 ISO and .341 xwOBA against righties make him a solid inclusion, especially given Mikolas’ struggles.

Key Points:

• Multiple high-ISO hitters in the lineup.
• Astros’ ability to exploit Mikolas’ weaknesses.
• Minute Maid Park’s hitter-friendly environment.

3. Cincinnati Reds vs. Dakota Hudson (Rockies)

Insights:

• Matchup: Dakota Hudson has struggled mightily, with an 11.6% K rate and 12.3% BB rate against lefties, and similar issues against righties.
• Top Hitters:
  • Elly De La Cruz (S): With a .221 ISO and .335 xwOBA, De La Cruz can switch hit and take advantage of Hudson’s struggles.
  • Jake Fraley (L): Fraley’s .166 ISO and .317 xwOBA make him a strong play.
  • Spencer Steer (R): Steer’s .168 ISO and .331 xwOBA against righties offer great value.

Key Points:

• Hudson’s high walk rate and low strikeout rate.
• Reds’ hitters with strong power metrics.
• Coors Field’s extreme hitter-friendly conditions.

Under-the-Radar Stack

San Francisco Giants vs. Jordan Montgomery (Diamondbacks)

Insights:

• Matchup: While Jordan Montgomery is generally solid, he has shown vulnerability against right-handed hitters, with a .168 ISO allowed.
• Top Hitters:
  • Wilmer Flores (R): With a .196 ISO and .299 xwOBA, Flores is a key right-handed bat to target.
  • Jorge Soler (R): Soler’s .342 ISO and .418 xwOBA make him a powerful under-the-radar play.
  • Luis Matos (R): Matos’ .130 ISO and .339 xwOBA against lefties make him a valuable inclusion.

Key Points:

• Montgomery’s struggles against right-handed hitters.
• Giants’ ability to exploit those matchups.
• Chase Field’s favorable conditions for hitters.

Conclusion

These stacks offer a mix of high upside and value for today’s MLB DFS slate. The Braves and Astros provide top-tier options with significant power potential, while the Reds offer a strong stack due to favorable conditions at Coors Field. The Giants present an under-the-radar option that could provide excellent value. Good luck with your lineups!

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