MLB Top Stacks 7/7/24

Today’s MLB slate is packed with intriguing matchups, and as always, we’re on the lookout for the best offenses to stack against struggling pitchers.

Here are the top three DFS stacks to target, along with two under-the-radar stacks that could give you an edge in your lineups.

Top 3 DFS Stacks

1. Atlanta Braves vs. Michael Mercado

Key Insights:

• Michael Mercado: Making only his second MLB start with a 5.36 xFIP and a 12% walk rate in Triple-A. His 1.71 ERA is misleading due to a low BABIP and HR/FB ratio.
• Braves Offense: Led by Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna, who have been crushing right-handers with ISOs of .209 and .267 respectively.
• Jarred Kelenic: Settling into the leadoff spot with a .193 ISO against RHP this season.

Why Stack Braves?

• Mercado’s struggles in Triple-A and lack of major league experience make him a prime target.
• The Braves have a potent lineup with power throughout, capable of exploiting Mercado’s weaknesses.

2. New York Mets vs. Luis Ortiz

Key Insights:

• Luis Ortiz: Spot starting with a .376 wOBA allowed to left-handed batters in his MLB sample.
• Mets Offense: Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are prime targets with their strong performance against RHP.
• Pete Alonso: Always a threat with his power, boasting a .254 ISO against RHP.

Why Stack Mets?

• Ortiz’s vulnerability to left-handed hitters aligns well with the Mets’ strengths.
• High upside with power hitters like Lindor, Nimmo, and Alonso.

3. Chicago Cubs vs. Jose Soriano

Key Insights:

• Jose Soriano: Wild pitcher with a high walk rate and allowing significant power to right-handed hitters.
• Cubs Offense: Despite recent struggles, key bats like Ian Happ, Cody Bellinger, and Christopher Morel present one-off power opportunities.

Why Stack Cubs?

• Soriano’s control issues and susceptibility to power make this a favorable matchup.
• The Cubs’ implied run total suggests potential for a big scoring day.

Under-the-Radar Stacks

1. Cleveland Guardians vs. Hayden Birdsong

Key Insights:

• Hayden Birdsong: Struggling in his MLB starts with a high xwOBA and low strikeout rate.
• Guardians Offense: Jose Ramirez leads the charge with support from Steven Kwan and Josh Naylor.
• Power Bats: Jhonkensy Noel and Josh Naylor offer underrated power potential.

Why Stack Guardians?

• Low ownership potential with solid upside against a hittable pitcher.
• The Guardians’ ability to string hits together can create big innings.

2. Detroit Tigers vs. Graham Ashcraft

Key Insights:

• Graham Ashcraft: Strong reverse splits, allowing a .365 wOBA to right-handed batters.
• Tigers Offense: Matt Vierling and Riley Greene are key targets, with Vierling’s .213 ISO against RHP.
• Sneaky Value: Colt Keith and other right-handed bats can exploit Ashcraft’s weaknesses.

Why Stack Tigers?

• Ashcraft’s reverse splits align well with the Tigers’ right-handed hitters.
• Potential for a high-scoring game in a hitter-friendly ballpark.

Final Thoughts

Stacking against struggling pitchers is a tried-and-true strategy in DFS, and today’s matchups offer several prime opportunities. Focus on the Braves, Mets, and Cubs for top-tier stacks, while the Guardians and Tigers provide valuable under-the-radar options. Good luck, and may your DFS lineups crush it today!