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$1,500 Payout – Six Sharp Player Prop Bets for Game 4 of Heat vs Celtics

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Game 4 of Heat vs Celtics is lined up to be a good one…

As seen in the screenshot below from the NBA Odds Page, betting markets have the Miami Heat slightly favored in Game 4. In other words, markets have a sweep of the Boston Celtics (#2 seed!) as the most likely outcome.

There’s over a 50% probability that we have two Conference Finals sweeps… Pretty crazy.

NBA Odds

The Heat are best offered at -112 moneyline odds. The Boston Celtics are best offered at +105 moneyline odds on WynnBet sportsbook.

As a sharp bettor, it is critical to browse odds (e.g. line shop) and ensure that you’re always getting the best possible price. This is sports betting 101.

If you’re betting the Heat at -125 moneyline odds on WynnBet when another book is offering 13 cents better at -112 odds, then you are getting ripped off. You won’t stand a chance at making money sports betting…

Betting on sports without line shopping is like being a day trader or investor who has to pay 25% more for every investment. You won’t stand a chance.

Line Movement Chart in Sports Betting

As seen in the line movement chart above from OddsJam, the moneyline odds for Game 4 of Heat vs Celtics have been relatively stable. The Heat ripped up to -126 odds at one point, but lines have been drifting back towards the Boston Celtics within the past few hours.

Pick #1: Caleb Martin Under 5.0 Rebounds on ParlayPlay

My first player prop pick for Game 4 of Celtics vs Heat is Caleb Martin Under 5.0 Rebounds on ParlayPlay. I found this sharp NBA bet on the Odds Screen.

NBA Odds Screen

As seen in the screenshot above, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy & all other sports gambling platforms have Martin’s line set at an over/under of 4.5 rebounds.

ParlayPlay is too high relative to every other data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds), so we want to take the under on this fantasy sports platform.

As sharp bettors, we treat every sportsbook as a data point on where the line should be set. Here, it’s clear that the value is on the under on ParlayPlay.

My six picks on ParlayPlay are:

  • Derrick White Over 16.0 P+R+A
  • Jimmy Butler Over 40.5 P+R+A
  • Reilly Smith Over 2.0 SOG
  • Marcus Smart Under 13.0 Points
  • Caleb Martin Under 5.0 Rebounds
  • Max Strus Under 12.0 Points

I’m staking $60 to win a max payout of $1,500 if all six player props win.

ParlayPlay – 6 Sharp Player Prop Picks

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