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NBA

$2,100 in Celtics vs Heat – Last Minute Player Props!

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

The Boston Celtics have a critical Game 3 if they want to bounce back in the Eastern Conference Finals…

Line Movement in Sports Betting

At approximately 7pm EST, it was announced that Derrick White will start in place of Robert Williams in Game 3. This led to a crazy profitable player prop on Underdog Fantasy.

Underdog Fantasy is a fantasy sports platform available in nearly all U.S. states. I’ve had a lot of success on this DFS platform. As seen in my bet tracker, I’m currently up $32,603.00 in profit on Underdog Fantasy in 2023.

Bet Tracker

Heat vs Celtics Pick: Derrick White Over 2.5 Rebounds on Underdog Fantasy

My player prop pick for Heat vs Celtics is Derrick White Over 2.5 Rebounds. I found this play on the OddsJam Positive EV Tool (picks in green = profitable).

OddsJam Positive EV

Underdog Fantasy was asleep at the wheel for this player prop on Derrick White…

As seen in the screenshot above, I was able to get this NBA prop at -122 odds on Underdog Fantasy. Every other sportsbook ripped odds higher once the news dropped that Derrick White was going to start over Robert Williams.

NBA Odds

As seen in the line movement chart above from OddsJam, DraftKings sportsbook ripped White’s over 2.5 rebounds from +100 odds to -160. DraftKings was reacting to new information in the market.

Line movement in sports betting can occur at any time. Injuries, lineup changes, weather forecasts, “sharp action” from a syndicate/sports betting hedge fund, etc. – all of these things can cause lines to jump.

Clearly, the market was not expecting Derrick White to start. Thus, once this news was announced, the market had to “re-price” the probability of White having over 2.5 rebounds. Most sportsbooks moved odds quickly and were on top of this news. However, Underdog Fantasy was asleep at the wheel, so we were able to hit an incredible player prop on this fantasy sports platforms.

My three player prop picks on Underdog Fantasy are:

  • Rui Hacimura Under 5.5 Rebounds in Lakers vs Nuggets
  • Derrick White Over 2.5 Rebounds in Celtics vs Heat
  • Carter Verhaeghe Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (SOG) in Panthers vs Hurricanes

I found all of these player props on the OddsJam Positive EV Tool. Unsurprisingly, the Derrick White play had the highest profit margin. I’m staking $350 to win $2,100 (6x payout) on Underdog Fantasy.

Underdog Fantasy Player Prop Picks

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