25x Payout: Last Minute Player Prop Bets with CRAZY Value!

Lines are whipping around, and I zoned in on a variety of sharp prop bets for tonight.

Pick #1: Marcus Smart Under 19.0 Points + Assists on ParlayPlay

My first NBA pick is for Celtics vs 76ers. I’m on Marcus Smart under 19.0 Points + Assists on ParlayPlay.

I found this NBA prop on the Odds Screen. As seen in the screenshot above, other fantasy sports platforms (e.g. PrizePicks, Underdog) have Smart’s line @ 18.5 Points + Assists. FanDuel has Smart’s line even lower at 17.5.

Follow the data… That’s how you make money as a sharp sports bettor. ParlayPlay is clearly too high relative to every other data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds), so we want to bet Smart’s under 19.0 P+A.

Pick #2: Joe Pavelski Under 2.5 SOG on ParlayPlay

Next, I have an NHL bet for Stars vs Kraken tonight. I’m on Joe Pavelski u2.5 Shots on Goal on ParlayPlay.

I found this NHL prop bet on the Fantasy Optimizer (picks in green = profitable). I don’t care if I’m betting on baseball, hockey, MMA or playoff basketball – I just want to find profitable bets with an “edge.”

I have six prop bets total on ParlayPlay, and I’m staking $25 to win $625 if I hit all six picks. My player props are:

1. Jaylen Brown Over 22.5 Points in Celtics vs 76ers
2. Joe Pavelski Under 2.5 Shots on Goal in Stars vs Kraken
3. Nikola Jokic Under 31.5 Points in Suns vs Nuggets
4. Devin Booker Under 33.5 Points in Suns vs Nuggets
5. Joel Embiid Under 34.5 Points + Assists in Celtics vs 76ers
6. Marcus Smart Under 19.0 Points + Assists in Celtics vs 76ers

Pick #3: Malcolm Brogdon Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists at -115 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

Next third prop bet for tonight is on Fliff Sportsbook. Fliff is an 18+ sportsbook that is available in practically all U.S. states. I’ve been able to find a lot of profitable bets on Fliff, so I highly recommend checking out this online bookmaker if you don’t already use it.

I found this NBA prop on the Positive EV Betting Tool. As seen in the screenshot above, Fliff is giving crazy value on Brogdon over 21.5 PRAs. We’re getting this prop bet at -115 odds on Fliff; just look at the ‘prices’ (e.g. odds) on other sportsbooks:

• FanDuel -140 odds
• DraftKings -140 odds
• etc.

As sharp bettors, we’re just looking for value in the market. Since sportsbooks set lines independently (e.g. each book has different odds), we essentially have dozens of data points telling us where a line should be set. It’s clear that Fliff is slipping up here and offering too much value on Brogdon’s over 21.5 P+R+A.

I locked in this sharp NBA bet on Fliff for $250, which is the maximum stake allowed. I’m betting $250 to win $467.39 if Brogdon has over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists.