A Sharp NBA Player Prop Bet for 76ers vs Celtics: Can Smart be Smart?

The 76ers pulled off a massive upset in Game 1. Without Joel Embiid, the 76ers were able to outlast the Celtics and win Game 1 by four points.

Now, we’re on to Game 2…

Unsurprisingly, without Embiid, the Philadelphia 76ers are big underdogs once again. As seen on the OddsJam NBA Odds Page, the 76ers are best offered at +433 moneyline odds (bet $100 to win $433 in profit). The 76ers are roughly 4:1 underdogs in Game 2, which means that betting markets are giving the 76ers a 20% probability of winning on Wednesday.

Celtics vs 76ers Prop Bet: Marcus Smart Over 5.5 Assists at +118 Odds on Caesars Sportsbook

My player prop bet for Celtics vs 76ers is on Caesars sportsbook. I’m on Marcus Smart Over 5.5 Assists at +118 Odds.

Since sportsbooks set lines independently (e.g. all sportsbooks have different odds from one another), it’s critical that you have numerous accounts as a sharp bettor. You never know which sportsbook is going to “slip up” and offer profitable betting opportunities on a given day.

Since I started sports betting, I’ve used over 40 sportsbooks: FanDuel, DraftKings, Golden Nugget, Betway, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy and many more… Sometimes, there’s more profitable bets on FanDuel. Other days, there’s more value on PrizePicks & Underdog Fantasy. It just depends.

As a sharp bettor, you’re like an investor. You’re hunting through the betting odds and looking for value. You never know which sportsbook is going to be offering player prop bets with value. Today, it’s Caesars. Tomorrow, it may be DraftKings. We just don’t know… That’s why I recommend signing up for at least 5 sportsbook accounts if you want to make money sports betting. More sportsbooks = merrier.

My NBA player prop bet for Wednesday was found on the OddsJam Positive EV Tool. This betting tool is simple to use – you just hit the bet in bold & highlighted in green (e.g. Smart o5.5 Assists @ +118 odds on Caesars). In this example, Smart over 5.5 Assists @ +118 odds is the profitable bet from OddsJam.

The Positive EV Tool is also a simple concept… This betting tool just shows you value in the market. Here, we’re getting Smart over 5.5 Assists @ +118 odds on Caesars. Just look @ the ‘prices’ (e.g. odds) on other sportsbooks:

• Betway +105
• Golden Nugget +105
• Hot Streak +107
• Pin -105

The average odds on Smart over 5.5 Assists is +107, and we’re getting +118 on Caesars. That’s clear value!

Although finding plays with an “edge” isn’t sexy, it prints money. When you’re following the data & finding value in the market, you’re guaranteed to make money long-term due to the law of large numbers.

Caesars sportsbook is my most profitable online bookmaker so far in 2023. This year, I’ve already profited $47,913 on Caesars sportsbook, as seen in the screenshot below from Pikkit sports.

Pikkit is a sports betting company with verified bet tracker. You sync the sportsbook accounts you use to Pikkit, and this bet tracker will automatically track your profit & loss by sportsbook.