Can We Make $1,000 off this Five-Leg Sharp PrizePicks Entry, Featuring Derrick White in Game 7?

I have a sharp five-leg PrizePicks entry for Monday night action, including four picks for the highly-anticipated Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals.

I’ve put this slip together using a variety of sharp betting tools, so let’s lock this one in before lines change. As always, if you haven’t already signed up for PrizePicks, you can do so here and they’ll give you a deposit match up to $100!.

Pick #1: Derrick White Under 17.5 Points + Assists

White was the hero in Game 6 after an incredible last-second offensive rebound and put-back to force a Game 7 in Boston, but today we’re going to be taking his under.

First off, White is expected to have less minutes in this one, with reigning sixth man of the year Malcolm Brogdon set to return. As a result, sportsbooks are moving his total points lower but PrizePicks has yet to catch on.

Even better is the clear value we are getting by taking this prop at PrizePicks. Check out what I found from the OddsJam NBA Screen:

Every other sportsbook is offering White’s total at 16.5 and 16, while PrizePicks is giving us 17.5. NBA bettors know how big of a difference a point can make, especially when a player you bet on is close to the total in crunch time.

The lower totals here imply that the sportsbooks favor the under, which is why we are taking it at PrizePicks with the extra point of value. PrizePicks is too high relative to every other data point here, so we are hitting this under. As always, follow the data.

Pick #2: Gabe Vincent Over 2.5 Rebounds

I found this play using the OddsJam Fantasy Screen and we are getting clear value here on Vincent’s rebound total.

Simply put, any pick from the Fantasy Screen in green is going to be mathematically profitable. The green implies that the 54.61% chance of this bet winning is higher than the winning threshold that we need to be hitting at PrizePicks.

To be profitable at PrizePicks, you need to be winning your bets 54.25% of the time. Any bet with a higher percent chance to win than that, like in our example above, is mathematically profitable.

PrizePicks knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their player prop over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on PrizePicks long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 54.25% of the time.

Check out this video where I break down this slip and how I find sharp sports betting plays every day:

Full Slip: