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NBA

Early Profitable 6-Pick Parlay for Friday, May 19

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Friday is another exciting slate of sports to bet on including Heat vs. Celtics Game 2, Stars vs. Golden Knights Game 1, and a full night of baseball.

I found six profitable bets on Fliff so let’s get into a couple of them.

Pick #1: Jaylen Brown Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists

I found this NBA prop on the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer.

The Fantasy Optimizer is a game-changer. It will show you exactly which props to take to make a profitable entry. Bets that are green = profitable. It’s that simple.

ParlayPlay is a fixed payout platform. To be profitable on this fantasy sports platform, we need to win above 53.22% of our player prop over/unders.

ParlayPlay knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on ParlayPlay long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 53.22% of the time.

The Optimizer highlights exactly which picks you need to take that will hit over 53.22% of the time.

Pick #2: Max Domi Under 2 Shots on Goal

I found this bet on the OddsJam Odds Screen. As you can see below, every other sportsbook has Domi’s line at 1.5.

By getting our line at 2, a loss on any other book turns into a push for us. With such a low total, it’s fairly likely that this edge will make a difference.

Having a consistent half shot of edge makes all the difference in the long run when trying to beat that 53.22%.

Pick #3: Gabe Vincent Over 16 Points + Rebounds + Assists

I also found this one on the OddsJam Odds Screen using a similar line of thinking as with Domi above, but this time ParlayPlay’s line is too low.

Every other sportsbook has Vincent’s line at 16.5, so in this case if he lands on exactly 16 we will push the over while everywhere else will lose.

It may seem like the slightest of edges, but it makes the difference when trying to surpass that 53.22%.

Full Parlay Slip

One of the biggest misconceptions in betting is that you should always stay away from parlays. For bettors that don’t know what they’re doing that’s true. But if all parlay legs are mathematically profitable then so is the full parlay. Take a look at my profit on parlays from 2023 alone.

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