PrizePicks NBA Finals 10x Payout: 5 Sharp Player Prop Picks for Game 5

The Nuggets took both games in Miami and now the series heads back to Denver with the Nuggets having an opportunity to win their first championship in franchise history.

For our sake, let’s hope the Heat can extend the series but it doesn’t look likely. More games mean more profitable betting opportunities like this one, so I don’t want to see the NBA season come to a close just yet.

Either way, I found a great PrizePicks entry filled with profitable player props for Game 5. I’ve put this slip together using a variety of sharp betting tools on OddsJam, so let’s lock this one in before the lines change.

As always, if you haven’t already signed up for PrizePicks, you can do so here and they’ll give you a deposit match up to $100!

Pick #1: Caleb Martin Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

I found this play using the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer and we are getting clear value on Martin’s points + rebounds + assists total.

Simply put, any pick from the Fantasy Screen in green is going to be mathematically profitable. The green implies that the 54.76% chance of this bet winning is higher than the winning threshold that we need to be hitting at PrizePicks.

To be profitable at PrizePicks, you need to be winning your bets 54.25% of the time. Any bet with a higher percent chance to win than that, like in our example above, is mathematically profitable.

PrizePicks knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their player prop over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on PrizePicks long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 54.25% of the time.

Check out this video where I break down this slip and how I find sharp sports betting plays every day:

Pick #2: Aaron Gordon Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds

I found this play on the OddsJam NBA Screen.

As you can see in the screenshot above, the 19.5 points + rebounds line that PrizePicks is giving us in inconsistent with the rest of the market, which is at 20 or even 20.5.

If we take this over on PrizePicks and he ends up with exactly 20 points + rebounds, we win. On the other hand, if we took the over 20 on Underdog Fantasy we would push, and if we took the over 20.5 on FanDuel we would lose.

It may seem like a small chance that he lands on exactly 20, but these small edges are how profitable sports bettors make money in the long run.

Full Slip