Game 1 of the Lakers vs. Nuggets series was a blast, and I can’t wait to watch Game 2 tonight while having some action on it in the form of profitable bets. I already found Nuggets -4.5 on Fliff yesterday and broke it down here.
Today, another profitable opportunity is available on Fliff.
Lakers vs. Nuggets Pick: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists | -105 on Fliff
Role players like KCP always play better at home so I love this from a basketball perspective, but when I see value like this I really can’t pass it up. I bet by following the data. That’s how you actually make money in sports betting… You look for value & inefficiencies in the market. The best way to do that is by using the OddsJam Positive EV Tool. Look at these odds below:
Caesars, Hard Rock, and Pin all have the over as the significantly favored outcome. Fliff is the outlier. Instead of taking this over at -131 at Caesars or even -145 at Hard Rock, Fliff is giving this to us at -105.
This bet was found using the OddsJam Positive EV Tool (bet in bold/green = profitable). The Positive EV Tool is pretty simple to use – you just hit the betting picks in green & bold. So in the screenshot above, the KCP over at -105 on Fliff is bolded and highlighted in green, suggesting you bet his over at that specific sportsbook.
The Positive EV Tool is just based in data – sportsbook odds… Long story short, OddsJam takes the “fluff” out of sports betting on Fliff and every other sportsbook and DFS site.
Another great thing about Fliff is that it’s a social sportsbook, so it’s available to users in many states where the classic sportsbooks aren’t yet allowed.
Sure, this bet may not win. Not all bets do. But if I can find value like this on every bet, I will be profitable in the long run. I don’t try to handicap my picks. Nobody is better at that than the oddsmakers, so I just follow the data to find outliers in the market like this.
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