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NBA

Does Boston have Hope? Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Picks, Predictions & Best Bets

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

The Miami Heat (#8 seed) are shocking the world with a 3-0 series lead over the Boston Celtics (#2 seed). Does Boston have any gas left in the tank?

In this betting preview, I’ll be discussing my favorite early value bets on Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals.

Heat vs Celtics Pick: Over 215.5 Points at +105 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

My first bet on Game 4 of Heat vs Celtics is over 215.5 points at +105 odds on Fliff sportsbook.

Fliff is a relatively new sportsbook that is available in almost every U.S. state. I’ve been able to find a lot of profitable bets on this sportsbook, so I highly recommend signing up for this platform and at least taking advantage of their new user deposit bonus.

NBA Odds

I found my sharp NBA pick on the OddsJam Positive EV Betting Tool (picks in green/bold = profitable). OddsJam Positive EV is pretty simple… This betting tool just points out value (e.g. line discrepancies) in the betting market. There’s no B.S. and no fluff.

As seen in the screenshot above, Fliff is the only sportsbook offering the over 215.5 points at “plus money.” Every other sportsbook has the o215.5 points priced at -105 odds or worse.

As sharp sports bettors, we treat every sportsbook as a data point on where the line should be set. It’s clear that Fliff is slipping up and offering way, way too much value on the over 215.5 points in Game 4 of Heat vs Celtics.

Investors/day traders simply hunt for value in the market all day long. It’s no different as a sharp sports bettor who wants to make money… You have dozens of data points (e.g. sportsbooks posting odds) telling you where a line should be set – just find line discrepancies (e.g. value) in the betting market.

Line Movement in Sports Betting

As seen in the line movement chart above from OddsJam, sportsbooks have ripped the total in Game 4 higher. Pinnacle, the sharpest sportsbook in the world, has moved odds on the over 215.5 total points from +104 to -107 odds in the last two hours. Fliff sportsbook is “asleep at the wheel” offering this play at +105 odds.

I put my money where my mouth is. I locked in this NBA bet for $250, which is the maximum stake allowed on Fliff. I’m betting $250 to win a total payout of $512.49.

Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Best Bets

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