Insane Value: Early Picks for Celtics vs. Heat Game 3

Miami has shocked the world and won both Game 1 and Game 2 in Boston. The Heat are going back to Miami with a commanding 2-0 lead in the series. Despite this 2-0 lead and now being at home, the Heat are still underdogs in Game 3.

Celtics vs. Heat Pick: Heat +4 | -110 at Fliff

I found this incredible bet on Fliff Social Sportsbook by using the OddsJam Positive Expected Value Tool, shown below.

As you can see, Fliff listing Heat +4 at -110 is inconsistent with the rest of the market, which lists the same spread more heavily favored. Look at DraftKings all the way at -140!

Follow the data – that’s how you actually make money sports betting… You look for value & inefficiencies in the market.

As sharp bettors, we treat every sportsbook as a data point on where the line should be set. In this case, all data points (e.g. bookmakers posting odds) have the Heat +4 line significantly favored, so Fliff is providing insane value. Hammer the heat!

The OddsJam Positive EV Tool makes bets like this easy to find. Just look for the bet in bold/green. That mean’s it’s profitable. The Positive EV Tool is pretty simple to use – you just hit the betting picks in green & bold. So in the screenshot above, the Heat are in green and bold meaning the Heat is the play!

The best part about this bet is that it’s on Fliff. Since Fliff is a social sportsbook, it’s legal in way more states than the rest of the books.

Let’s hope the Heat can extend their series lead to 3-0, but at minimum cover the +4.