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Steph Curry: Last Minute Player Prop Bets for Lakers vs Warriors
AP Photos
Lakers vs Warriors, Steph vs Lebron…
In this betting preview, I’ll be sharing my “last minute” player prop picks for Game 4 of Lakers vs Warriors.
The Lakers are slight favorites tonight. As seen in the screenshot below from the NBA Odds Page, the Lakers are best offered at -125 moneyline odds on Caesars sportsbook. As a sharp sports bettor, it’s critical to line shop and always get the best possible odds on all your NBA picks. This is sports betting 101.
If you’re betting on the Lakers moneyline at -145 when another book is offering -125 odds, then you’re getitng ripped off. It’s that simple. You won’t stand a chance of making money sports betting long-term…
Golden State is best offered at +120 moneyline odds on Fliff sportsbook. The Warriors are +2.5 point spread underdogs on most bookmakers, and the total is currently set at an over/under of 228.0. It should be an exciting game…
Player Prop Bet #1: Stephen Curry Over 30.5 Points at -115 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook
My first bet for Game 4 of Lakers vs Warriors is Steph Curry over 30.5 points. I bet this at -115 odds on Fliff.
As seen in the screenshot above from the Positive EV Betting Tool, Fliff is offering crazy value on Steph’s over 30.5 points. Just look at the ‘prices’ (e.g. odds) on Steph over 30.5 points on other sportsbooks:
- FanDuel: -144 odds
- Caesars: -135 odds
- WynnBet: -125 odds
- DraftKings: -130 odds
As a sharp bettor, finding value (e.g. an “edge”) in the market is all that matters. Investors & day traders spend their whole day looking for value in the market, and it’s no different in sports betting.
As seen in the screenshot above from OddsJam, sportsbooks have ripped odds in favor of Steph’s over 30.5 points. Caesars sportsbook has moved the price on Steph over 30.5 points from -112 all the way down to -135 odds.
Long story short, Steph’s points line is moving higher, and Fliff sportsbook is asleep the wheel. I locked in Curry’s over 30.5 points @ -115 odds for $250, which is the maximum bet size allowed on Fliff.
Player Prop Bet #2: Jarred Vanderbilt Under 6.0 Rebounds on ParlayPlay
My next pick for Lakers vs Warriors is from the NBA Odds Screen. I’m on Jarred Vanderbilt under 6.0 rebounds on ParlayPlay.
As seen in the screenshot below, all other fantasy sites/sportsbooks have Vanderbilt’s line @ 5.5 rebounds. ParlayPlay is too high relative to every other data point (e.g. sportsbook posting odds), so you want to take the under 6.0 rebounds.
I have six sharp NBA picks on ParlayPlay, and I’m staking $60 to win $1,500 if all of my player props win. Four of my NBA player prop bets are for Game 4 of Lakers vs Warriors tonight, and then I also included 2 picks for Nuggets vs Suns.
My 6 sharp picks are:
- Jamal Murray Under 5.0 Rebounds
- Devin Booker Over 13.0 Rebounds + Assists
- Steph Curry Over 11.0 Rebounds + Assists
- Lonnie Walker IV Over 6.5 Points
- Jared Vanderbilt Under 6.0 Rebounds
- Austin Reaves Under 1.5 Made Threes
