NFL Player Prop Bets & Odds Today: Target Mahomes Passing TDs Prop in Thursday Night Football Divisional Game

OddsJam’s football experts break down their top NFL player props for each day of NFL action! Find the top odds, picks and predictions today below.

Thursday Night Football Player Prop Pick

Chargers vs. Chiefs Prop Bet: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing TDs | +130 at PointsBet

Thursday, Sept. 15 | 8:20 p.m. ET

So far in his career, Mahomes has been the king of September. In his three games last year in September, he threw for 3+ touchdowns. The year before, in 2020, he threw for a total of nine touchdowns in three September games. In 2019 he threw 10, and to round it out in 2018, he threw an astounding 13 touchdowns in only three games in September. Oh, and last week against the Cardinals he threw for 5 TDs.

So, this is all to say that Mahomes is known for starting the season off HOT. In all four years of his career, he has averaged over two passing touchdowns per game in September.

While this Chargers defense is most likely going to be improved from last year’s dreadful unit, they still looked vulnerable through the air last week against the Raiders. Derek Carr threw for just under 300 yards, granted he only had two passing touchdowns.

With that said, the Chiefs passing offense is clearly superior to the Raiders, even without a stud receiver like the Raiders have in Davante Adams. Mahomes has also gone over this number the past two times he has played the Chargers, and I like it to be the last three after Thursday’s game.

What is an NFL Player Prop?

A “proposition” bet, more commonly known as a prop bet, is a wager that is not directly related to the final score of the game.

A player prop deals exclusively with a player’s performance in a given game. NFL player props include a wide variety of markets including over/under on passing, receiving or rushing yards, odds on a player scoring a touchdown and more!

How Do I Bet on an NFL Player Prop?

Betting on NFL player props is actually very easy! All you have to do is go to your sportsbook of choice and then pick an NFL game you would like to bet on. Once in the game markets, there should be a tab named “Player Props” and that is where you will find every player prop that is available in that game.

Some props may not have been priced by the book(s) either because of no interest from the public or because they are too high-risk for the sportsbook. 

How to Pick the Best NFL Player Prop?

The most powerful tool you have at your disposal to bet on player props is Positive EV betting. On its own, it can be hard to find the expected value among ALL of the sportsbooks that exist! With OddsJam, it has never been easier.

The OddsJam betting tools are constantly analyzing millions of bets per second in order to find the best value player prop bets for YOU. Once it has found those bets, it will place them on the Positive EV page as well as send you an email if you have notifications enabled.