Guaranteed NFL Season Player Prop Wins? Using the ‘Middle’ Strategy to Ensure At Least One Side is Green

Have you ever wanted to place a pair of bets and be 100% confident that you will not lose both? Not only that, but have a chance at cashing both?

Then middle betting is for you.

In this article, I’m going to explain how I use a concept called middle betting to make sure at least one side of a bet always hits in my NFL season player prop picks on PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy. Before we get into it, check out this video I made on how to bet middles.

Daily Fantasy sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy have already posted full-season player prop lines for the 2023 NFL season…and they are not on the same page whatsoever.

PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy are two competitors in the DFS space, and both provide incredible opportunities for profitable sports bettors like us. If you haven’t already, be sure to sign up for both by using promo code “ODDSJAM” for a $100 deposit match on your first deposit.

After you deposit money into your account, be sure to sign up for the OddsJam Fantasy Optimizer, which will show/highlight in green profitable bets to include in all your DFS entries across PrizePicks, Underdog, JockMKT, Fliff, ParlayPlay, Thrive, and more.

Before we go over my specific picks, if you like the concept of middling be sure to check out the OddsJam Middles tool.

Player Prop #1: Najee Harris Rushing Touchdowns (Under 7.5 at PrizePicks, Over 6.0 at Underdog)

PrizePicks and Underdog are a full touchdown and a half apart on where they have Harris’ rushing touchdowns line set.

I’m taking advantage of this discrepancy and betting both sides. I literally cannot lose both. If the under 7.5 on PrizePicks loses, the over 6.0 on Underdog is guaranteed to win. If over 6.0 on Underdog loses, the under 7.5 on PrizePicks is guaranteed to win.

The best case scenario is he lands on exactly seven touchdowns. This way we would win our over 6.0 at Underdog AND our under 7.5 at PrizePicks and both slips would be looking great.

Even if he lands on 6.0, we win on PrizePicks and push on Underdog.

Player Prop #2: Justin Fields Passing Touchdowns (Over 18.5 at PrizePicks, Under 20.5 at Underdog)

The same concept applies here, but this time the lower line is at PrizePicks so we are taking over 18.5 there, and under 20.5 at Underdog.

Here, we’re hoping he lands on exactly 19 or 20 passing touchdowns and both our picks are green. If not, at minimum one of the picks is guaranteed to win.

Full Slips

PrizePicks:

Underdog Fantasy