WNBA Best Bets Tuesday 10/1/24

The WNBA Playoffs are heating up, and we’ve got some thrilling matchups for today’s slate. Let’s dive into the two games and uncover our top bets, player props, and key insights to help you get the best edge on today’s action.

We’ll break down each game, look at the matchups, and highlight the key players you should be targeting in your betting picks.

Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty (-3.5) | Total: 164

The Liberty came out strong in Game 1, securing a 10-point win and showing their depth and versatility. New York’s size, rebounding, and defense were major factors in their victory, and Vegas struggled to match up.

Suggested Bets:

• Liberty -3.5:
  • Analysis: New York has had the Aces’ number all season, going 4-0 against them. The Liberty’s ability to dominate the boards and control the pace has been crucial, as we saw in Game 1 when they outrebounded Vegas 31-22. With a well-rounded roster led by Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu, they’ve proven they can handle whatever Vegas throws at them. Expect them to continue this dominance in Game 2.
  • Key Points:
    • Liberty’s depth neutralizes Aces’ star power.
    • New York’s rebounding edge and ability to defend the perimeter limit Vegas’ offense.
    • Vegas has struggled defensively, especially in the opening quarters, giving up 28 points in the first quarter of Game 1.
• Under 164 Total Points:
  • Analysis: These teams have shown a tendency to grind out games when matched up. Vegas has hit the under in 70% of their last 10 road games, and New York’s home games have stayed under 60% of the time. With Vegas struggling to score in the second half of the season, and New York’s tough defense, this game should stay under.
  • Key Points:
    • Vegas hit the under in 8 of their last 11 games.
    • New York’s defense has been smothering, holding opponents under 80 points in 3 of their last 4 meetings with Vegas.
• Player Prop: Jonquel Jones Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-114)
  • Analysis: Jonquel Jones has struggled to hit from deep against Vegas, going under this mark in 16 of her last 20 games. The Aces’ defense against centers has been tough on the perimeter, allowing the second-fewest threes to opposing centers.
  • Key Points:
    • Jones has gone under this mark in 11 of her last 13 matchups with the Aces.
    • The Aces’ defensive focus will be on limiting her outside looks.

Connecticut Sun (+5) vs. Minnesota Lynx | Total: 151.5

The Sun took Game 1 on the road, an impressive win given that the Lynx tied with New York for the best home record in the league. Connecticut’s defense was a major factor, holding Minnesota to 25% shooting from beyond the arc and winning the rebounding battle.

Suggested Bets:

• Connecticut Sun +5:
  • Analysis: This has been a tightly contested series, with the first four meetings decided by a total of 11 points. The Sun’s defense has stifled Minnesota’s perimeter game, and their ability to limit turnovers keeps them in games. While the Lynx may bounce back, the 5-point spread feels too high given how competitive these teams have been.
  • Key Points:
    • Minnesota has struggled against Connecticut’s defense, shooting just 25% from three in Game 1.
    • The Sun have covered this spread in 3 of 4 meetings this year.
• Player Prop: DeWanna Bonner Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-102)
  • Analysis: Bonner has been a consistent performer against the Lynx, surpassing this mark in three straight games. Despite Minnesota’s solid defense, Bonner’s versatility allows her to score and rebound effectively, especially in high-leverage playoff games.
  • Key Points:
    • Bonner has hit this mark in 7 of her last 10 games.
    • She’s averaging 19 points + rebounds in her last 7 road games.
• Player Prop: Alyssa Thomas First Quarter Points Over 3.5 (+112)
  • Analysis: Thomas has been a first-quarter spark for the Sun, hitting this mark in 3 of 4 games against Minnesota this season. With the plus-money value on the line and her knack for starting games strong, this is a solid bet.
  • Key Points:
    • Thomas has hit this mark in her last 5 games.
    • Minnesota’s interior defense struggles early against aggressive forwards like Thomas.

Final Thoughts and Call to Action

These WNBA Playoff matchups are set to provide some intense action, and we’ve identified key angles to take advantage of in both games. Whether you’re backing the Liberty’s depth or taking the points with the Sun, make sure you’re using the best tools available to maximize your bets.

Unlock your betting potential with Oddsjam—the ultimate platform to help you quickly identify the most reliable bets in today’s games. With features like the Promo Finder, Arbitrage Bets, and Positive Expected Value (+EV) Bets, you’ll have all the resources you need to become a more profitable bettor.

Check out the free 7-day trial and explore 100+ tutorial videos and free coaching sessions. Maximize your betting and fantasy picks today!

Happy betting!